A cross-disciplinary approach to minimising the risks of maritime transport in the Gulf of Finland

Eveliina Klemola, Jenni Kuronen, Juha Kalli, Tommi Arola, Maria Hänninen, Annukka Lehikoinen, Sakari Kuikka, Pentti Kujala, Ulla Tapaninen

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

28 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The maritime traffic in the Gulf of Finland is predicted to rapidly increase in the near future, which increases the environmental risks both through direct environmental effects and by increasing the accident risk. This paper describes a multidisciplinary modelling approach, where, based on growth predictions, the maritime traffic in the Gulf of Finland in the year 2015 is modelled and the accident risk, the direct environmental effects and the risk of environmental accidents are evaluated. Finally, the effects of national and international legislation and other management actions are modelled, to produce advice and support for governmental decision makers. In the modelling work, Bayesian Networks (BNs) are applied. The approach produces unique information on the accident risks and their effects separately for each marine route used, which enables efficient local risk control actions to be taken by the decision makers to decrease the probability of accidents.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)343-363
Number of pages21
JournalWorld Review of Intermodal Transportation Research
Volume2
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2009
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

Keywords

  • Atmospheric emissions
  • Bayesian networks
  • Gulf of Finland
  • Maritime transport
  • Oil transport
  • Risk models

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