Abstract
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 257-269 |
| Number of pages | 13 |
| Journal | Environmental Science and Policy |
| Volume | 12 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2009 |
| MoE publication type | A1 Journal article-refereed |
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Keywords
- Pulp and paper sector
- Climate change
- Bottom-up modelling
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A world model of the pulp and paper industry : Demand, energy consumption and emission scenarios to 2030. / Szabó, L. (Corresponding Author); Soria, A.; Forsström, Juha; Keränen, Janne Sami; Hytönen, Eemeli.
In: Environmental Science and Policy, Vol. 12, No. 3, 2009, p. 257-269.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review
TY - JOUR
T1 - A world model of the pulp and paper industry
T2 - Demand, energy consumption and emission scenarios to 2030
AU - Szabó, L.
AU - Soria, A.
AU - Forsström, Juha
AU - Keränen, Janne Sami
AU - Hytönen, Eemeli
PY - 2009
Y1 - 2009
N2 - This article introduces a bottom-up global model of the pulp and paper sector (PULPSIM) with a focus on energy consumption and carbon emissions. It is an annual recursive simulation behavioural model with a 2030 time horizon incorporating several technological details of the industry for 47 world regions. The long time horizon and the modular structure allow the model users to assess the effects of different environmental, energy and climate policies in a scenario comparison setup. In addition to the business as usual developments of the sector, a climate commitment scenario has been analysed, in which the impacts of changing forest management practices are also included. The climate scenario results reveal that there is a significant carbon reduction potential in the pulp and paper making, showing a number of specific features: the central role of the fibrous resource inputs and the potential impact of increased waste wood and black liquor based heat generation.
AB - This article introduces a bottom-up global model of the pulp and paper sector (PULPSIM) with a focus on energy consumption and carbon emissions. It is an annual recursive simulation behavioural model with a 2030 time horizon incorporating several technological details of the industry for 47 world regions. The long time horizon and the modular structure allow the model users to assess the effects of different environmental, energy and climate policies in a scenario comparison setup. In addition to the business as usual developments of the sector, a climate commitment scenario has been analysed, in which the impacts of changing forest management practices are also included. The climate scenario results reveal that there is a significant carbon reduction potential in the pulp and paper making, showing a number of specific features: the central role of the fibrous resource inputs and the potential impact of increased waste wood and black liquor based heat generation.
KW - Pulp and paper sector
KW - Climate change
KW - Bottom-up modelling
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-64049119304&partnerID=MN8TOARS
U2 - 10.1016/j.envsci.2009.01.011
DO - 10.1016/j.envsci.2009.01.011
M3 - Article
VL - 12
SP - 257
EP - 269
JO - Environmental Science and Policy
JF - Environmental Science and Policy
SN - 1462-9011
IS - 3
ER -