TY - JOUR
T1 - A world model of the pulp and paper industry
T2 - Demand, energy consumption and emission scenarios to 2030
AU - Szabó, L.
AU - Soria, A.
AU - Forsström, Juha
AU - Keränen, Janne T.
AU - Hytönen, Eemeli
PY - 2009
Y1 - 2009
N2 - This article introduces a bottom-up global model of the pulp and paper sector (PULPSIM) with a focus on energy consumption and carbon emissions.
It is an annual recursive simulation behavioural model with a 2030 time
horizon incorporating several technological details of the industry for
47 world regions. The long time horizon and the modular structure allow
the model users to assess the effects of different environmental,
energy and climate policies in a scenario comparison setup. In addition
to the business as usual developments of the sector, a climate
commitment scenario has been analysed, in which the impacts of changing
forest management practices are also included. The climate scenario
results reveal that there is a significant carbon reduction potential in
the pulp and paper making, showing a number of specific features: the
central role of the fibrous resource inputs and the potential impact of
increased waste wood and black liquor based heat generation.
AB - This article introduces a bottom-up global model of the pulp and paper sector (PULPSIM) with a focus on energy consumption and carbon emissions.
It is an annual recursive simulation behavioural model with a 2030 time
horizon incorporating several technological details of the industry for
47 world regions. The long time horizon and the modular structure allow
the model users to assess the effects of different environmental,
energy and climate policies in a scenario comparison setup. In addition
to the business as usual developments of the sector, a climate
commitment scenario has been analysed, in which the impacts of changing
forest management practices are also included. The climate scenario
results reveal that there is a significant carbon reduction potential in
the pulp and paper making, showing a number of specific features: the
central role of the fibrous resource inputs and the potential impact of
increased waste wood and black liquor based heat generation.
KW - Pulp and paper sector
KW - Climate change
KW - Bottom-up modelling
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-64049119304&partnerID=MN8TOARS
U2 - 10.1016/j.envsci.2009.01.011
DO - 10.1016/j.envsci.2009.01.011
M3 - Article
SN - 1462-9011
VL - 12
SP - 257
EP - 269
JO - Environmental Science and Policy
JF - Environmental Science and Policy
IS - 3
ER -
