Benchmark exercise on expert judgment techniques in PSA Level 2

G. Cojazzi; D. Fogli; G. Grassini; P. De Gelder; D. Gryffroy; R. Bolado; E. Hofer; R. Virolainen; I. M. Coe; A. Bassanelli; J. Puga; I. Papazoglou; O. Zuchuat; E. Cazzoli; J. Eyink; G. Guida; L. Pinola; U. Pulkkinen; K. Simola; D. Von Winterfeldt; A. Valeri

doi:10.1016/S0029-5493(01)00404-6

Benchmark exercise on expert judgment techniques in PSA Level 2

G. Cojazzi^*
, D. Fogli
, G. Grassini
, P. De Gelder
, D. Gryffroy
, R. Bolado
, E. Hofer
, R. Virolainen
, I. M. Coe
, A. Bassanelli
, J. Puga
, I. Papazoglou
, O. Zuchuat
, E. Cazzoli
, J. Eyink
, G. Guida
, L. Pinola
, U. Pulkkinen
, K. Simola
, D. Von Winterfeldt

A. Valeri

^*Corresponding author for this work

VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland

European Commission
Association Vinçotte Nuclear
Technical University of Madrid
Forschungsgelände Garching
Radiation and Nuclear Safety Authority (STUK)
NNC Ltd
Enel Spa
Alcatel-Lucent
National Centre of Scientific Research Demokritos
Swiss Federal Nuclear Safety Inspectorate (ENSI)
ERI Consulting and Co.
University of Brescia
VTT (former employee or external)
Decision Insights, Inc.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review

6 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This article summarizes objectives and aims of the concerted action 'Benchmark Exercise on Expert Judgment Techniques in PSA Level 2' and the results obtained within the project. The project was organized in three phases, namely a survey phase (pre-phase), a first phase devoted to parameter estimation assessment and a second phase devoted to benchmarking expert judgment methods on a scenario development case. The paper is focused on the first phase and on the results obtained by the application of five structured Expert Judgment (EJ) methodologies to the problem at hand. The results of the comparison of EJ methodologies are also provided; they are based on the use of some metrics suitably designed during the project. The context of Phase 2 and the issue to be tackled in this phase are briefly described; since this phase has been carried out only at a preliminary level (mainly after the end of the project), the results obtained are not reported here in detail but are only briefly commented on.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	211-221
Number of pages	11
Journal	Nuclear Engineering and Design
Volume	209
Issue number	1-3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/S0029-5493(01)00404-6
Publication status	Published - 1 Nov 2001
MoE publication type	Not Eligible

Funding

The work of JRC-ISIS colleagues, domain experts, normative experts and external consultants is very much appreciated and acknowledged. Among others, thanks are due to: A. Annunziato (JRC-ISIS), G. Berthoud (CEA), R.M. Bilbao y León (UPM), M. Burger (IKE), G. Colombo (ENEA), M. Delaval (JRC-ISIS), G. Dobson (AEA), T. Eppel (DII), H. Hohmann (JRC-ISIS), Y.J. Hyvärinen (STUK), J. Ibáñez (UPM), H. Jacobs (FZK), M.A. Jiménez (UPM), P. Lundsröm (IVO), O. Kymäläinen (IVO), N. Kolev (Siemens), J. Lantarón (CSN), J. Lechemere (NNC), D. Magallon (JRC-ISIS), P. Meyer (HSK), T. Okkonen (OTO cons), J. Sandberg (STUK), R. Sairanen (VTT), R. Sardella (HSK, formerly Uni. Bologna and JRC-ISIS), H. Sjövall (TVO), K. Taylor (NNC), D. Utton (NNC), J. Martı́n (UPM), M. Valisi (ENEL), G. Volta (JRC-ISIS), H. Weisshäupl (JRC-ISIS, formerly SIEMENS) and A. Yerkess (JRC-ISIS).

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Cojazzi, G., Fogli, D., Grassini, G., De Gelder, P., Gryffroy, D., Bolado, R., Hofer, E., Virolainen, R., Coe, I. M., Bassanelli, A., Puga, J., Papazoglou, I., Zuchuat, O., Cazzoli, E., Eyink, J., Guida, G., Pinola, L., Pulkkinen, U., Simola, K., ... Valeri, A. (2001). Benchmark exercise on expert judgment techniques in PSA Level 2. Nuclear Engineering and Design, 209(1-3), 211-221. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0029-5493(01)00404-6

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title = "Benchmark exercise on expert judgment techniques in PSA Level 2",

abstract = "This article summarizes objectives and aims of the concerted action 'Benchmark Exercise on Expert Judgment Techniques in PSA Level 2' and the results obtained within the project. The project was organized in three phases, namely a survey phase (pre-phase), a first phase devoted to parameter estimation assessment and a second phase devoted to benchmarking expert judgment methods on a scenario development case. The paper is focused on the first phase and on the results obtained by the application of five structured Expert Judgment (EJ) methodologies to the problem at hand. The results of the comparison of EJ methodologies are also provided; they are based on the use of some metrics suitably designed during the project. The context of Phase 2 and the issue to be tackled in this phase are briefly described; since this phase has been carried out only at a preliminary level (mainly after the end of the project), the results obtained are not reported here in detail but are only briefly commented on.",

author = "G. Cojazzi and D. Fogli and G. Grassini and \{De Gelder\}, P. and D. Gryffroy and R. Bolado and E. Hofer and R. Virolainen and Coe, \{I. M.\} and A. Bassanelli and J. Puga and I. Papazoglou and O. Zuchuat and E. Cazzoli and J. Eyink and G. Guida and L. Pinola and U. Pulkkinen and K. Simola and \{Von Winterfeldt\}, D. and A. Valeri",

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doi = "10.1016/S0029-5493(01)00404-6",

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Cojazzi, G, Fogli, D, Grassini, G, De Gelder, P, Gryffroy, D, Bolado, R, Hofer, E, Virolainen, R, Coe, IM, Bassanelli, A, Puga, J, Papazoglou, I, Zuchuat, O, Cazzoli, E, Eyink, J, Guida, G, Pinola, L, Pulkkinen, U, Simola, K, Von Winterfeldt, D & Valeri, A 2001, 'Benchmark exercise on expert judgment techniques in PSA Level 2', Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 209, no. 1-3, pp. 211-221. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0029-5493(01)00404-6

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AU - Cojazzi, G.

AU - Fogli, D.

AU - Grassini, G.

AU - De Gelder, P.

AU - Gryffroy, D.

AU - Bolado, R.

AU - Hofer, E.

AU - Virolainen, R.

AU - Coe, I. M.

AU - Bassanelli, A.

AU - Puga, J.

AU - Papazoglou, I.

AU - Zuchuat, O.

AU - Cazzoli, E.

AU - Eyink, J.

AU - Guida, G.

AU - Pinola, L.

AU - Pulkkinen, U.

AU - Simola, K.

AU - Von Winterfeldt, D.

AU - Valeri, A.

PY - 2001/11/1

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N2 - This article summarizes objectives and aims of the concerted action 'Benchmark Exercise on Expert Judgment Techniques in PSA Level 2' and the results obtained within the project. The project was organized in three phases, namely a survey phase (pre-phase), a first phase devoted to parameter estimation assessment and a second phase devoted to benchmarking expert judgment methods on a scenario development case. The paper is focused on the first phase and on the results obtained by the application of five structured Expert Judgment (EJ) methodologies to the problem at hand. The results of the comparison of EJ methodologies are also provided; they are based on the use of some metrics suitably designed during the project. The context of Phase 2 and the issue to be tackled in this phase are briefly described; since this phase has been carried out only at a preliminary level (mainly after the end of the project), the results obtained are not reported here in detail but are only briefly commented on.

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ER -

Benchmark exercise on expert judgment techniques in PSA Level 2

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