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Can the confidence in long range atmospheric transport models be increased? The Pan-European experience of ensemble

  • Stefano Galmarini*
  • , R. Bianconi
  • , W. Klug
  • , T. Mikkelsen
  • , R. Addis
  • , S. Andronopoulos
  • , P. Astrup
  • , A. Baklanov
  • , J. Bartniki
  • , J. C. Bartzis
  • , R. Bellasio
  • , F. Bompay
  • , R. Buckley
  • , M. Bouzom
  • , H. Champion
  • , R. D'Amours
  • , E. Davakis
  • , H. Eleveld
  • , G. T. Geertsema
  • , H. Glaab
  • M. Kollax, Mikko Ilvonen, A. Manning, U. Pechinger, C. Persson, E. Polreich, S. Potemski, M. Prodanova, J. Saltbones, H. Slaper, M. A. Sofiev, D. Syrakov, J. H. Sørensen, L. Van der Auwera, I. Valkama, R. Zelazny
*Corresponding author for this work
    • European Commission
    • Enviroware srl
    • Technical University of Denmark (DTU)
    • University of Manchester
    • Savannah River National Laboratory
    • National Centre of Scientific Research Demokritos
    • Danish Meteorological Institute
    • Norwegian Meteorological Institute
    • German Meteorological Service
    • Environment and Climate Change Canada
    • Meteo France
    • National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM)
    • Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute
    • Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI)
    • Met Office
    • Central Institution for Meteorology and Geodynamics
    • National Centre for Nuclear Research (NCBJ)
    • National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology
    • Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI)
    • Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

    Abstract

    Is atmospheric dispersion forecasting an important asset of the early-phase nuclear emergency response management? Is there a 'perfect atmospheric dispersion model'? Is there a way to make the results of dispersion models more reliable and trustworthy? While seeking to answer these questions the multi-model ensemble dispersion forecast system ENSEMBLE will be presented.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)19-24
    JournalRadiation Protection Dosimetry
    Volume109
    Issue number1-2
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 3 Sept 2004
    MoE publication typeNot Eligible

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