Consistency of Judgement in the Usage of Probabilistic Safety Goals

Michael Knochenhauer, Jan-Erik Holmberg, Helena Gustavsson

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference article in proceedingsScientificpeer-review

Abstract

The paper will deal with the consistency of judgement in the usage of probabilistic safety goals for nuclear power plants, as analysed in a sub-project within an on-going Nordic (Sweden/Finland) project. The project has relations to an on-going OECD/NEA WGRisk task on probabilistic safety criteria in member countries. Two important issues when dealing with safety criteria is the problem of consistency of judgement in a situation when safety goals are applied to PSA results which change over time, or which are made up of contributors with major differences in uncertainties. In many cases changes in PSA results over time are due to scope extensions or increases of level of detail, which will lead to an increase of the frequency of the calculated risk measures (CDF or off-site release). Changes in plant specific data and in analysis methods will also cause changes over time. This gradual extension and development of plant PSA models may lead to situations where safety goals are violated. The implications of such violations have been under discussion.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationInternational Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management
Subtitle of host publicationPSAM 9
PublisherInternational Association of Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management IAPSAM
Volume3
ISBN (Print)978-988-99191-5-7
Publication statusPublished - 2008
MoE publication typeA4 Article in a conference publication
Event9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management, PSAM 9 - Hong Kong, China
Duration: 18 May 200823 May 2008

Conference

Conference9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management, PSAM 9
Abbreviated titlePSAM 9
Country/TerritoryChina
CityHong Kong
Period18/05/0823/05/08

Keywords

  • probabilistic safety goals
  • probabilistic safety criteria
  • PSA

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