Construction IT in 2030: A scenario planning approach

B. Erdogan, C. Abbott, G. Aouad, Abdul Samad Kazi

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

14 Citations (Scopus)


This paper presents a scenario planning effort carried out in order to identify the possible futures that construction industry and construction IT might face. The paper provides a review of previous research in the area and introduces the scenario planning approach. It then describes the adopted research methodology. The driving forces of change and main trends, issues and factors determined by focusing on factors related to society, technology, environment, economy and politics are discussed. Four future scenarios developed for the year 2030 are described. These scenarios start from the global view and present the images of the future world. They then focus on the construction industry and the ICT implications. Finally, the preferred scenario determined by the participants of a prospective workshop is presented.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)540-555
Number of pages16
JournalJournal of information technology in construction
Publication statusPublished - 2009
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed


  • Construction industry
  • future studies
  • ICT vision
  • scenario
  • scenario planning


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