Abstract
This report presents a novel decision support methodology
for climate change adaptation decisions, which is tested
in demonstration cases with stakeholders. Additionally,
guidelines and experiences from the use of the method are
presented. Through the case-themes ToPDAd has produced
several specific assessment tools. Together, these models
provide decision makers with a flexible, new toolset to
support their adaptation policies and business choices.
To demonstrate the potential of the toolset to inform
decisions, ToPDAd developed two demonstration cases. The
first demonstration case was presented at the ECCA
conference in Copenhagen in May 2015 and the second is
presented in the final workshop of ToPDAd project in
Brussels in October 2015. The themes that will be
demonstrated are, first, power sector adaptability in
Northern Europe, and secondly, effects of drought on
French electricity supply. Both case-themes are described
in this deliverable. The goal of the demonstration is to
1) demonstrate the developed Strategy Robustness
Visualisation Method (SRVM) and test it, 2) to bring the
important climate change adaptation issues under
discussion and support the case theme related
decision-making and 3) to demonstrate the relevance of
the modelling results in a simulated real life decision
environment. The demonstration case development started
at the beginning of 2014 and the second demonstration
case is to be presented and reported in October 2015. The
demonstration utilises SRVM which combines two decision
support methodologies, namely Multi-Criteria Decision
Analysis (MCDA) and Robust Decision-Making (RDM). By
structuring the decision context, defining the adaptation
strategies and decision criteria, and making performance
of the alternatives and valuations explicit, the approach
gives participants in the workshops a clear picture of
which adaptation strategies are found robust and
important. The approach can be used instead or as a
complement to other decision support approaches such as
cost-benefit analysis (CBA).
Original language | English |
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Publisher | European Commission EC |
Number of pages | 50 |
Publication status | Published - 2015 |
MoE publication type | D4 Published development or research report or study |
Keywords
- adaptation decision-making
- group decision-support tool
- multi-criteria decision analysis
- robust decision-making