Demonstration description - visualisation of robust adaptation strategies: Deliverable D4.3

Jyri Hanski, Tony Rosqvist, Douglas Crawford-Brown

    Research output: Book/ReportReport

    Abstract

    This report presents a novel decision support methodology for climate change adaptation decisions, which is tested in demonstration cases with stakeholders. Additionally, guidelines and experiences from the use of the method are presented. Through the case-themes ToPDAd has produced several specific assessment tools. Together, these models provide decision makers with a flexible, new toolset to support their adaptation policies and business choices. To demonstrate the potential of the toolset to inform decisions, ToPDAd developed two demonstration cases. The first demonstration case was presented at the ECCA conference in Copenhagen in May 2015 and the second is presented in the final workshop of ToPDAd project in Brussels in October 2015. The themes that will be demonstrated are, first, power sector adaptability in Northern Europe, and secondly, effects of drought on French electricity supply. Both case-themes are described in this deliverable. The goal of the demonstration is to 1) demonstrate the developed Strategy Robustness Visualisation Method (SRVM) and test it, 2) to bring the important climate change adaptation issues under discussion and support the case theme related decision-making and 3) to demonstrate the relevance of the modelling results in a simulated real life decision environment. The demonstration case development started at the beginning of 2014 and the second demonstration case is to be presented and reported in October 2015. The demonstration utilises SRVM which combines two decision support methodologies, namely Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) and Robust Decision-Making (RDM). By structuring the decision context, defining the adaptation strategies and decision criteria, and making performance of the alternatives and valuations explicit, the approach gives participants in the workshops a clear picture of which adaptation strategies are found robust and important. The approach can be used instead or as a complement to other decision support approaches such as cost-benefit analysis (CBA).
    Original languageEnglish
    Number of pages50
    Publication statusPublished - 2015
    MoE publication typeD4 Published development or research report or study

    Fingerprint

    visualization
    decision making
    decision
    electricity supply
    decision analysis
    methodology
    cost-benefit analysis
    valuation
    stakeholder
    drought
    modeling
    method

    Keywords

    • adaptation decision-making
    • group decision-support tool
    • multi-criteria decision analysis
    • robust decision-making

    Cite this

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    title = "Demonstration description - visualisation of robust adaptation strategies: Deliverable D4.3",
    abstract = "This report presents a novel decision support methodology for climate change adaptation decisions, which is tested in demonstration cases with stakeholders. Additionally, guidelines and experiences from the use of the method are presented. Through the case-themes ToPDAd has produced several specific assessment tools. Together, these models provide decision makers with a flexible, new toolset to support their adaptation policies and business choices. To demonstrate the potential of the toolset to inform decisions, ToPDAd developed two demonstration cases. The first demonstration case was presented at the ECCA conference in Copenhagen in May 2015 and the second is presented in the final workshop of ToPDAd project in Brussels in October 2015. The themes that will be demonstrated are, first, power sector adaptability in Northern Europe, and secondly, effects of drought on French electricity supply. Both case-themes are described in this deliverable. The goal of the demonstration is to 1) demonstrate the developed Strategy Robustness Visualisation Method (SRVM) and test it, 2) to bring the important climate change adaptation issues under discussion and support the case theme related decision-making and 3) to demonstrate the relevance of the modelling results in a simulated real life decision environment. The demonstration case development started at the beginning of 2014 and the second demonstration case is to be presented and reported in October 2015. The demonstration utilises SRVM which combines two decision support methodologies, namely Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) and Robust Decision-Making (RDM). By structuring the decision context, defining the adaptation strategies and decision criteria, and making performance of the alternatives and valuations explicit, the approach gives participants in the workshops a clear picture of which adaptation strategies are found robust and important. The approach can be used instead or as a complement to other decision support approaches such as cost-benefit analysis (CBA).",
    keywords = "adaptation decision-making, group decision-support tool, multi-criteria decision analysis, robust decision-making",
    author = "Jyri Hanski and Tony Rosqvist and Douglas Crawford-Brown",
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    }

    Demonstration description - visualisation of robust adaptation strategies : Deliverable D4.3. / Hanski, Jyri; Rosqvist, Tony; Crawford-Brown, Douglas.

    2015. 50 p.

    Research output: Book/ReportReport

    TY - BOOK

    T1 - Demonstration description - visualisation of robust adaptation strategies

    T2 - Deliverable D4.3

    AU - Hanski, Jyri

    AU - Rosqvist, Tony

    AU - Crawford-Brown, Douglas

    N1 - Project code: 100490

    PY - 2015

    Y1 - 2015

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    KW - adaptation decision-making

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    ER -