Development of a model of the world pulp and paper industry

This report introduces a bottom-up global pulp and paper model with a focus on energy consumption and carbon emissions in the sector. It is a year by year recursive simulation behavioural model running till 2030, incorporating rich technological details and in depth market structures of the industry for 47 world regions. The long time horizon and the detailed modular structure enable the model users to assess the impacts of long term climatic scenarios. In addition to the Business as Usual developments of the sector, climate commitment scenarios are also presented, where the responses of the sector together with the main driving forces are identified. The scenarios reveal a significant carbon reduction potential in the pulp and paper making, and also point to a number of unique features of the sector in reacting to a carbon constraint.