Abstract
The aim of this paper is to propose a patent
search strategy in the case of emerging
technology fields and to study the development patterns
of the low emission vehicle (LEV)
technologies. An Automatic Patent Classification (APC)
system has been developed based
on text mining techniques to facilitate the patent
retrieval process. The data was collected
from the Global Patent Index (GPI) database, and
interviews were conducted to involve
experts' opinions. The technology forecasting method
utilized the collected patent data to
define the technological life cycles of LEV technology.
The growth curves estimates steady
growth in LEV technologies including hybrid and battery
electronic vehicles, and appar-
ently reaching the saturation point in few decades is
inevitable. Plus, patenting activity
of hydrogen fuel cell vehicle technology was experiencing
the infancy period so far, and
further it is anticipated to reach higher growth rate in
line with other energy alternatives.
The proposed method can help patent researchers in terms
of retrieving accurate patents
based on their technology target. Moreover, the
technology forecasting techniques provide
an insight to investors, assisting them to allocate their
resources properly. The results can
benefit car industry stakeholders to anticipate the most
promising technology areas in an
uncertain dynamic market
Original language | English |
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Title of host publication | Proceedings of PICMET '14 Conference |
Subtitle of host publication | Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology; Infrastructure and Service Integration |
Publisher | IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers |
Pages | 2924-2937 |
ISBN (Electronic) | 978-1-890843-29-8 |
Publication status | Published - 2014 |
MoE publication type | A4 Article in a conference publication |
Event | Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering & Technology, PICMET 2014 - Kanazawa, Japan Duration: 27 Jul 2014 → 31 Jul 2014 |
Conference
Conference | Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering & Technology, PICMET 2014 |
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Abbreviated title | PICMET 2014 |
Country/Territory | Japan |
City | Kanazawa |
Period | 27/07/14 → 31/07/14 |
Keywords
- Patents
- vehicles
- market research
- industries
- technology forecasting
- search problems
- hydrogen