Forecasting Shifts in Europe's Renewable and Fossil Fuel Markets Using Deep Learning Methods

  • Yonghong Liu
  • , Muhammad S. Saleem
  • , Javed Rashid
  • , Sajjad Ahmad
  • , Muhammad Faheem*
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Abstract

Accurate forecasts of renewable and nonrenewable energy output are essential for meeting global energy needs and resolving environmental issues. Energy sources like the sun and wind are variable, making forecasting difficult. Changes in weather, demand, and energy policy exacerbate this unpredictability. These challenges will be addressed by the bidirectional gated recurrent unit (Bi-GRU) model, which forecasts power-generating outcomes more efficiently. The investigation is done over a health data set from 2000 to 2023, including the energy states of the United Kingdom, Finland, Germany, and Switzerland. The comparison of our model (Bi-GRU) performance with other popular models, including bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM), ensemble techniques combining convolutional neural networks (CNN) and Bi-LSTM, and CNNs, make the study more interesting. The performance remains better with a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 2.75%, root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.0414, mean squared error (MSE) of 0.0017, and authentify that Bi-GRU performs much better than others. This model's superior prediction accuracy significantly enhances our ability to forecast renewable and nonrenewable energy outputs in European states, contributing to more effective energy management strategies.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)119-139
JournalEnergy Science & Engineering
Volume13
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2025
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
    SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy
  2. SDG 8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
    SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth
  3. SDG 9 - Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure
    SDG 9 Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure

Keywords

  • Internet of energy things
  • nonrenewable energy
  • renewable energy
  • smart grid
  • internet of energy things
  • Bi-GRU
  • European countries

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