Future transport systems: long-term visions and socio-technical transitions

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

    8 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Long-term, system-level foresight is needed when grand challenges are addressed in the transport sector. This paper explores how socio-technical transitions can be anticipated and taken into account in strategic transport planning. Techniques to integrate long-term foresight and understanding of socio-technical change in the transport system to support long-term transport policy targets are introduced. The proposed approach extends and combines transport system vision building to analysis of system-level changes on a three-level framework. It presents a novel, policy relevant application in the field of socio-technical transitions. The case is demonstrated with a vision of a safe and secure Finnish transport system in 2100. First, a consistent transport system vision was created with transport experts and authorities using a structured vision building process. Second, key topics involved in the transition from the existing socio-technical system to the envisioned future were analysed using the three-level framework. The demonstration proved successful, and it has contributed to the understanding of importance of the shared long-term perspective in transport system decision-making and strategic planning. It has also generated wider discussion on transport system visions, desired futures paths as well as measures and changes required among the Finnish transport systems stakeholders
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)343 - 354
    JournalEuropean Transport Research Review
    Volume6
    Issue number3
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2014
    MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

    Fingerprint

    Strategic planning
    transport system
    Demonstrations
    Decision making
    Planning
    strategic planning
    stakeholder
    expert
    decision making
    planning

    Keywords

    • Foresight
    • socio-technical change
    • transport system
    • vision

    Cite this

    @article{1cbbaa4926824b96a4d307fe08c4e151,
    title = "Future transport systems: long-term visions and socio-technical transitions",
    abstract = "Long-term, system-level foresight is needed when grand challenges are addressed in the transport sector. This paper explores how socio-technical transitions can be anticipated and taken into account in strategic transport planning. Techniques to integrate long-term foresight and understanding of socio-technical change in the transport system to support long-term transport policy targets are introduced. The proposed approach extends and combines transport system vision building to analysis of system-level changes on a three-level framework. It presents a novel, policy relevant application in the field of socio-technical transitions. The case is demonstrated with a vision of a safe and secure Finnish transport system in 2100. First, a consistent transport system vision was created with transport experts and authorities using a structured vision building process. Second, key topics involved in the transition from the existing socio-technical system to the envisioned future were analysed using the three-level framework. The demonstration proved successful, and it has contributed to the understanding of importance of the shared long-term perspective in transport system decision-making and strategic planning. It has also generated wider discussion on transport system visions, desired futures paths as well as measures and changes required among the Finnish transport systems stakeholders",
    keywords = "Foresight, socio-technical change, transport system, vision",
    author = "Heidi Auvinen and Anu Tuominen",
    note = "Project code: 10404",
    year = "2014",
    doi = "10.1007/s12544-014-0135-3",
    language = "English",
    volume = "6",
    pages = "343 -- 354",
    journal = "European Transport Research Review",
    issn = "1867-0717",
    publisher = "Springer",
    number = "3",

    }

    Future transport systems: long-term visions and socio-technical transitions. / Auvinen, Heidi; Tuominen, Anu.

    In: European Transport Research Review, Vol. 6, No. 3, 2014, p. 343 - 354.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

    TY - JOUR

    T1 - Future transport systems: long-term visions and socio-technical transitions

    AU - Auvinen, Heidi

    AU - Tuominen, Anu

    N1 - Project code: 10404

    PY - 2014

    Y1 - 2014

    N2 - Long-term, system-level foresight is needed when grand challenges are addressed in the transport sector. This paper explores how socio-technical transitions can be anticipated and taken into account in strategic transport planning. Techniques to integrate long-term foresight and understanding of socio-technical change in the transport system to support long-term transport policy targets are introduced. The proposed approach extends and combines transport system vision building to analysis of system-level changes on a three-level framework. It presents a novel, policy relevant application in the field of socio-technical transitions. The case is demonstrated with a vision of a safe and secure Finnish transport system in 2100. First, a consistent transport system vision was created with transport experts and authorities using a structured vision building process. Second, key topics involved in the transition from the existing socio-technical system to the envisioned future were analysed using the three-level framework. The demonstration proved successful, and it has contributed to the understanding of importance of the shared long-term perspective in transport system decision-making and strategic planning. It has also generated wider discussion on transport system visions, desired futures paths as well as measures and changes required among the Finnish transport systems stakeholders

    AB - Long-term, system-level foresight is needed when grand challenges are addressed in the transport sector. This paper explores how socio-technical transitions can be anticipated and taken into account in strategic transport planning. Techniques to integrate long-term foresight and understanding of socio-technical change in the transport system to support long-term transport policy targets are introduced. The proposed approach extends and combines transport system vision building to analysis of system-level changes on a three-level framework. It presents a novel, policy relevant application in the field of socio-technical transitions. The case is demonstrated with a vision of a safe and secure Finnish transport system in 2100. First, a consistent transport system vision was created with transport experts and authorities using a structured vision building process. Second, key topics involved in the transition from the existing socio-technical system to the envisioned future were analysed using the three-level framework. The demonstration proved successful, and it has contributed to the understanding of importance of the shared long-term perspective in transport system decision-making and strategic planning. It has also generated wider discussion on transport system visions, desired futures paths as well as measures and changes required among the Finnish transport systems stakeholders

    KW - Foresight

    KW - socio-technical change

    KW - transport system

    KW - vision

    U2 - 10.1007/s12544-014-0135-3

    DO - 10.1007/s12544-014-0135-3

    M3 - Article

    VL - 6

    SP - 343

    EP - 354

    JO - European Transport Research Review

    JF - European Transport Research Review

    SN - 1867-0717

    IS - 3

    ER -