Implications of the uncertainties present in risk assessment of chemical installations to risk-informed decision making: The case of land use planning

M. Christou*, Z. Nivolianitou, Kurt Lauridsen, A. Amendola, F. Markert, P. Crossthwaite, D. Carter, D. Hourtolou, M. Molag, G. Spadoni, Jyrki Tiihonen, I. Kozine, A. Aneziris, S. Gadd, I. Papazoglou

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference article in proceedingsScientificpeer-review

Abstract

This paper deals with the uncertainties present in the results of risk assessment of chemical installations and it examines their implications to land-use planning decisions. In particular, the results from the EU funded research project ASSURANCE are used as a case-study. Three types of land use planning approaches are considered, namely, a "consequence-based" approach, a "risk-based" using only individual risk criterion, and a "risk-based" approach using both individual risk and societal risk criteria. The analysis demonstrates that the land-use planning decisions are significantly affected by the uncertainties in the assessment of both the consequences and the frequencies of the potential accident scenarios.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationTowards a Safer World
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of the ESREL Conference
EditorsNorberto Piccini, Enrico Zio, Micaela Demichela
Place of PublicationTorino
PublisherPolitecnico di Torino
Pages1747-1754
Volume3
Publication statusPublished - 2001
MoE publication typeA4 Article in a conference publication
EventEuropean Conference on safety and reliability, ESREL 2001 - Torino, Italy
Duration: 16 Sept 200120 Sept 2001

Conference

ConferenceEuropean Conference on safety and reliability, ESREL 2001
Abbreviated titleESREL
Country/TerritoryItaly
CityTorino
Period16/09/0120/09/01

Keywords

  • decision making

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