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Implications of the uncertainties present in risk assessment of chemical installations to risk-informed decision making: The case of land use planning

  • M. Christou*
  • , Z. Nivolianitou
  • , Kurt Lauridsen
  • , A. Amendola
  • , F. Markert
  • , P. Crossthwaite
  • , D. Carter
  • , D. Hourtolou
  • , M. Molag
  • , G. Spadoni
  • , Jyrki Tiihonen
  • , I. Kozine
  • , A. Aneziris
  • , S. Gadd
  • , I. Papazoglou
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra
  • National Centre of Scientific Research Demokritos
  • Risø DTU National Laboratory for Sustainable Energy
  • Veritas Research
  • Health and Safety Laboratory
  • Institut National de l'Environnement Industriel et des Risques
  • Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research (TNO)
  • University of Bologna

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference article in proceedingsScientificpeer-review

Abstract

This paper deals with the uncertainties present in the results of risk assessment of chemical installations and it examines their implications to land-use planning decisions. In particular, the results from the EU funded research project ASSURANCE are used as a case-study. Three types of land use planning approaches are considered, namely, a "consequence-based" approach, a "risk-based" using only individual risk criterion, and a "risk-based" approach using both individual risk and societal risk criteria. The analysis demonstrates that the land-use planning decisions are significantly affected by the uncertainties in the assessment of both the consequences and the frequencies of the potential accident scenarios.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationTowards a Safer World
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of the ESREL Conference
EditorsNorberto Piccini, Enrico Zio, Micaela Demichela
Place of PublicationTorino
PublisherPolitecnico di Torino
Pages1747-1754
Volume3
Publication statusPublished - 2001
MoE publication typeA4 Article in a conference publication
EventEuropean Conference on safety and reliability, ESREL 2001 - Torino, Italy
Duration: 16 Sept 200120 Sept 2001

Conference

ConferenceEuropean Conference on safety and reliability, ESREL 2001
Abbreviated titleESREL
Country/TerritoryItaly
CityTorino
Period16/09/0120/09/01

Keywords

  • decision making

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