Integrating FTA and Risk Assessment Methodologies

Raija Koivisto, Nina Wessberg, Annele Eerola, Toni Ahlqvist, Sirkku Kivisaari, Jouko Myllyoja, Minna Halonen

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference abstract in proceedingsScientific

Abstract

This paper examines the potential of integrating future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) with risk assessment methodologies and tools, with the aim of developing more proactive risk assessments and also systematically including risk assessment in future-oriented technology analysis. The similarities and development challenges of foresight; Technology Analysis (TA) and risk assessment methodologies are discussed in the light of the empirical material gathered from projects performed at VTT. Among the projects are IRRIIS project focusing on risk assessment of critical infrastructures, INNORISK project aiming at managing opportunities, risk and uncertainties in new business creation and a project related to the climate change (CES). The case projects are positioned according to their important design dimensions (informative vs. instrumental outcomes; consensual vs. diverse future perspectives, extensive vs. exclusive stakeholder involvement, and autonomous vs. fixed management). The common and complementary features of FTA and risk assessment are discussed, suggesting new ways to evolve the modular design when integrating FTA and risk assessment methodologies and tools.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationFTA Future oriented Technology Analysis. The 3rd International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA). Impacts and implications for policy and decision making
Subtitle of host publicationBook of abstracts.
Place of PublicationSeville, Spain
Pages37-38
Publication statusPublished - 2008
MoE publication typeNot Eligible
Event3rd International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis, FTA 2008 - Sevilla, Spain
Duration: 16 Oct 200817 Oct 2008

Conference

Conference3rd International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis, FTA 2008
Abbreviated titleFTA 2008
CountrySpain
CitySevilla
Period16/10/0817/10/08

Fingerprint

Methodology
Risk assessment
Infrastructure projects
Critical infrastructure
Stakeholder involvement
Risk and uncertainty
Foresight
Modular design
New business
Climate change

Keywords

  • foresight methodology
  • technology assessment
  • technology analysis
  • risk assessment
  • risk analysis
  • roadmapping

Cite this

Koivisto, R., Wessberg, N., Eerola, A., Ahlqvist, T., Kivisaari, S., Myllyoja, J., & Halonen, M. (2008). Integrating FTA and Risk Assessment Methodologies. In FTA Future oriented Technology Analysis. The 3rd International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA). Impacts and implications for policy and decision making: Book of abstracts. (pp. 37-38). Seville, Spain.
Koivisto, Raija ; Wessberg, Nina ; Eerola, Annele ; Ahlqvist, Toni ; Kivisaari, Sirkku ; Myllyoja, Jouko ; Halonen, Minna. / Integrating FTA and Risk Assessment Methodologies. FTA Future oriented Technology Analysis. The 3rd International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA). Impacts and implications for policy and decision making: Book of abstracts.. Seville, Spain, 2008. pp. 37-38
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Koivisto, R, Wessberg, N, Eerola, A, Ahlqvist, T, Kivisaari, S, Myllyoja, J & Halonen, M 2008, Integrating FTA and Risk Assessment Methodologies. in FTA Future oriented Technology Analysis. The 3rd International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA). Impacts and implications for policy and decision making: Book of abstracts.. Seville, Spain, pp. 37-38, 3rd International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis, FTA 2008, Sevilla, Spain, 16/10/08.

Integrating FTA and Risk Assessment Methodologies. / Koivisto, Raija; Wessberg, Nina; Eerola, Annele; Ahlqvist, Toni; Kivisaari, Sirkku; Myllyoja, Jouko; Halonen, Minna.

FTA Future oriented Technology Analysis. The 3rd International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA). Impacts and implications for policy and decision making: Book of abstracts.. Seville, Spain, 2008. p. 37-38.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference abstract in proceedingsScientific

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AU - Myllyoja, Jouko

AU - Halonen, Minna

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AB - This paper examines the potential of integrating future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) with risk assessment methodologies and tools, with the aim of developing more proactive risk assessments and also systematically including risk assessment in future-oriented technology analysis. The similarities and development challenges of foresight; Technology Analysis (TA) and risk assessment methodologies are discussed in the light of the empirical material gathered from projects performed at VTT. Among the projects are IRRIIS project focusing on risk assessment of critical infrastructures, INNORISK project aiming at managing opportunities, risk and uncertainties in new business creation and a project related to the climate change (CES). The case projects are positioned according to their important design dimensions (informative vs. instrumental outcomes; consensual vs. diverse future perspectives, extensive vs. exclusive stakeholder involvement, and autonomous vs. fixed management). The common and complementary features of FTA and risk assessment are discussed, suggesting new ways to evolve the modular design when integrating FTA and risk assessment methodologies and tools.

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Koivisto R, Wessberg N, Eerola A, Ahlqvist T, Kivisaari S, Myllyoja J et al. Integrating FTA and Risk Assessment Methodologies. In FTA Future oriented Technology Analysis. The 3rd International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA). Impacts and implications for policy and decision making: Book of abstracts.. Seville, Spain. 2008. p. 37-38