Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter or book articleProfessional

    5 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Concretizing the roadmaps outlined for moving to a low carbon economy by 2050 into detailed policies is a challenging task. Using ETSAP-TIAM as the central modeling tool, we have analyzed the implications of low carbon policies within Europe, with a special focus on the Finnish energy system. The main objective of the work was to identify cost-effective pathways for moving into a low carbon economy by 2050, by creating a set of different storylines for the future society and economy. The analysis involved also linking the energy system model to an applied general equilibrium model and a forest sector partial equilibrium model for estimating the impacts on the overall economy as well as land-use change and forestry. The scenario results indicate that Finland has good opportunities for achieving its low carbon targets by 2050 due to its large natural resources. The major uncertainties are related to the application of carbon capture and storage (CCS) and possible sustainability criteria for biomass.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationInforming Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models
    PublisherSpringer
    Pages163-181
    ISBN (Electronic)978-3-319-16540-0
    ISBN (Print)978-3-319-16539-4
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 7 Apr 2015
    MoE publication typeD2 Article in professional manuals or guides or professional information systems or text book material

    Publication series

    SeriesLecture Notes in Energy
    Volume30

    Fingerprint

    carbon
    modeling
    land use change
    energy
    forestry
    natural resource
    economy
    sustainability
    biomass
    cost
    policy
    Europe
    analysis
    society

    Keywords

    • sensitivity case
    • gross domestic product loss
    • scenario bionenergy
    • wide european scale
    • time modeling framework

    Cite this

    Koljonen, T., & Lehtilä, A. (2015). Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland. In Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models (pp. 163-181). Springer. Lecture Notes in Energy, Vol.. 30 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16540-0_10
    Koljonen, Tiina ; Lehtilä, Antti. / Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland. Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models. Springer, 2015. pp. 163-181 (Lecture Notes in Energy, Vol. 30).
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    abstract = "Concretizing the roadmaps outlined for moving to a low carbon economy by 2050 into detailed policies is a challenging task. Using ETSAP-TIAM as the central modeling tool, we have analyzed the implications of low carbon policies within Europe, with a special focus on the Finnish energy system. The main objective of the work was to identify cost-effective pathways for moving into a low carbon economy by 2050, by creating a set of different storylines for the future society and economy. The analysis involved also linking the energy system model to an applied general equilibrium model and a forest sector partial equilibrium model for estimating the impacts on the overall economy as well as land-use change and forestry. The scenario results indicate that Finland has good opportunities for achieving its low carbon targets by 2050 due to its large natural resources. The major uncertainties are related to the application of carbon capture and storage (CCS) and possible sustainability criteria for biomass.",
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    author = "Tiina Koljonen and Antti Lehtil{\"a}",
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    Koljonen, T & Lehtilä, A 2015, Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland. in Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models. Springer, Lecture Notes in Energy, vol. 30, pp. 163-181. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16540-0_10

    Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland. / Koljonen, Tiina; Lehtilä, Antti.

    Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models. Springer, 2015. p. 163-181 (Lecture Notes in Energy, Vol. 30).

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter or book articleProfessional

    TY - CHAP

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    N2 - Concretizing the roadmaps outlined for moving to a low carbon economy by 2050 into detailed policies is a challenging task. Using ETSAP-TIAM as the central modeling tool, we have analyzed the implications of low carbon policies within Europe, with a special focus on the Finnish energy system. The main objective of the work was to identify cost-effective pathways for moving into a low carbon economy by 2050, by creating a set of different storylines for the future society and economy. The analysis involved also linking the energy system model to an applied general equilibrium model and a forest sector partial equilibrium model for estimating the impacts on the overall economy as well as land-use change and forestry. The scenario results indicate that Finland has good opportunities for achieving its low carbon targets by 2050 due to its large natural resources. The major uncertainties are related to the application of carbon capture and storage (CCS) and possible sustainability criteria for biomass.

    AB - Concretizing the roadmaps outlined for moving to a low carbon economy by 2050 into detailed policies is a challenging task. Using ETSAP-TIAM as the central modeling tool, we have analyzed the implications of low carbon policies within Europe, with a special focus on the Finnish energy system. The main objective of the work was to identify cost-effective pathways for moving into a low carbon economy by 2050, by creating a set of different storylines for the future society and economy. The analysis involved also linking the energy system model to an applied general equilibrium model and a forest sector partial equilibrium model for estimating the impacts on the overall economy as well as land-use change and forestry. The scenario results indicate that Finland has good opportunities for achieving its low carbon targets by 2050 due to its large natural resources. The major uncertainties are related to the application of carbon capture and storage (CCS) and possible sustainability criteria for biomass.

    KW - sensitivity case

    KW - gross domestic product loss

    KW - scenario bionenergy

    KW - wide european scale

    KW - time modeling framework

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    Koljonen T, Lehtilä A. Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland. In Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models. Springer. 2015. p. 163-181. (Lecture Notes in Energy, Vol. 30). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16540-0_10