Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter or book articleProfessional

5 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Concretizing the roadmaps outlined for moving to a low carbon economy by 2050 into detailed policies is a challenging task. Using ETSAP-TIAM as the central modeling tool, we have analyzed the implications of low carbon policies within Europe, with a special focus on the Finnish energy system. The main objective of the work was to identify cost-effective pathways for moving into a low carbon economy by 2050, by creating a set of different storylines for the future society and economy. The analysis involved also linking the energy system model to an applied general equilibrium model and a forest sector partial equilibrium model for estimating the impacts on the overall economy as well as land-use change and forestry. The scenario results indicate that Finland has good opportunities for achieving its low carbon targets by 2050 due to its large natural resources. The major uncertainties are related to the application of carbon capture and storage (CCS) and possible sustainability criteria for biomass.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationInforming Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models
PublisherSpringer
Pages163-181
ISBN (Electronic)978-3-319-16540-0
ISBN (Print)978-3-319-16539-4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 7 Apr 2015
MoE publication typeD2 Article in professional manuals or guides or professional information systems or text book material

Publication series

SeriesLecture Notes in Energy LNEN
Volume30

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carbon
modeling
land use change
energy
forestry
natural resource
economy
sustainability
biomass
cost
policy
Europe
analysis
society

Keywords

  • sensitivity case
  • gross domestic product loss
  • scenario bionenergy
  • wide european scale
  • time modeling framework

Cite this

Koljonen, T., & Lehtilä, A. (2015). Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland. In Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models (pp. 163-181). Springer. Lecture Notes in Energy LNEN, Vol.. 30 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16540-0_10
Koljonen, Tiina ; Lehtilä, Antti. / Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland. Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models. Springer, 2015. pp. 163-181 (Lecture Notes in Energy LNEN, Vol. 30).
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Koljonen, T & Lehtilä, A 2015, Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland. in Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models. Springer, Lecture Notes in Energy LNEN, vol. 30, pp. 163-181. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16540-0_10

Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland. / Koljonen, Tiina; Lehtilä, Antti.

Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models. Springer, 2015. p. 163-181 (Lecture Notes in Energy LNEN, Vol. 30).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter or book articleProfessional

TY - CHAP

T1 - Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland

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AU - Lehtilä, Antti

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AB - Concretizing the roadmaps outlined for moving to a low carbon economy by 2050 into detailed policies is a challenging task. Using ETSAP-TIAM as the central modeling tool, we have analyzed the implications of low carbon policies within Europe, with a special focus on the Finnish energy system. The main objective of the work was to identify cost-effective pathways for moving into a low carbon economy by 2050, by creating a set of different storylines for the future society and economy. The analysis involved also linking the energy system model to an applied general equilibrium model and a forest sector partial equilibrium model for estimating the impacts on the overall economy as well as land-use change and forestry. The scenario results indicate that Finland has good opportunities for achieving its low carbon targets by 2050 due to its large natural resources. The major uncertainties are related to the application of carbon capture and storage (CCS) and possible sustainability criteria for biomass.

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KW - time modeling framework

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Koljonen T, Lehtilä A. Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland. In Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models. Springer. 2015. p. 163-181. (Lecture Notes in Energy LNEN, Vol. 30). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16540-0_10