Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland

Tiina Koljonen; Antti Lehtilä

doi:10.1007/978-3-319-16540-0_10

Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter or book article › Professional

Abstract

Concretizing the roadmaps outlined for moving to a low carbon economy by 2050 into detailed policies is a challenging task. Using ETSAP-TIAM as the central modeling tool, we have analyzed the implications of low carbon policies within Europe, with a special focus on the Finnish energy system. The main objective of the work was to identify cost-effective pathways for moving into a low carbon economy by 2050, by creating a set of different storylines for the future society and economy. The analysis involved also linking the energy system model to an applied general equilibrium model and a forest sector partial equilibrium model for estimating the impacts on the overall economy as well as land-use change and forestry. The scenario results indicate that Finland has good opportunities for achieving its low carbon targets by 2050 due to its large natural resources. The major uncertainties are related to the application of carbon capture and storage (CCS) and possible sustainability criteria for biomass.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models
Publisher	Springer
Pages	163-181
ISBN (Electronic)	978-3-319-16540-0
ISBN (Print)	978-3-319-16539-4
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16540-0_10
Publication status	Published - 7 Apr 2015
MoE publication type	D2 Article in professional manuals or guides or professional information systems or text book material

Publication series

Series	Lecture Notes in Energy
Volume	30

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth
SDG 13 Climate Action
SDG 15 Life on Land
SDG 17 Partnerships for the Goals

Keywords

sensitivity case
gross domestic product loss
scenario bionenergy
wide european scale
time modeling framework

Access to Document

10.1007/978-3-319-16540-0_10

Cite this

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title = "Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland",

abstract = "Concretizing the roadmaps outlined for moving to a low carbon economy by 2050 into detailed policies is a challenging task. Using ETSAP-TIAM as the central modeling tool, we have analyzed the implications of low carbon policies within Europe, with a special focus on the Finnish energy system. The main objective of the work was to identify cost-effective pathways for moving into a low carbon economy by 2050, by creating a set of different storylines for the future society and economy. The analysis involved also linking the energy system model to an applied general equilibrium model and a forest sector partial equilibrium model for estimating the impacts on the overall economy as well as land-use change and forestry. The scenario results indicate that Finland has good opportunities for achieving its low carbon targets by 2050 due to its large natural resources. The major uncertainties are related to the application of carbon capture and storage (CCS) and possible sustainability criteria for biomass.",

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TY - CHAP

T1 - Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland

AU - Koljonen, Tiina

AU - Lehtilä, Antti

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N2 - Concretizing the roadmaps outlined for moving to a low carbon economy by 2050 into detailed policies is a challenging task. Using ETSAP-TIAM as the central modeling tool, we have analyzed the implications of low carbon policies within Europe, with a special focus on the Finnish energy system. The main objective of the work was to identify cost-effective pathways for moving into a low carbon economy by 2050, by creating a set of different storylines for the future society and economy. The analysis involved also linking the energy system model to an applied general equilibrium model and a forest sector partial equilibrium model for estimating the impacts on the overall economy as well as land-use change and forestry. The scenario results indicate that Finland has good opportunities for achieving its low carbon targets by 2050 due to its large natural resources. The major uncertainties are related to the application of carbon capture and storage (CCS) and possible sustainability criteria for biomass.

AB - Concretizing the roadmaps outlined for moving to a low carbon economy by 2050 into detailed policies is a challenging task. Using ETSAP-TIAM as the central modeling tool, we have analyzed the implications of low carbon policies within Europe, with a special focus on the Finnish energy system. The main objective of the work was to identify cost-effective pathways for moving into a low carbon economy by 2050, by creating a set of different storylines for the future society and economy. The analysis involved also linking the energy system model to an applied general equilibrium model and a forest sector partial equilibrium model for estimating the impacts on the overall economy as well as land-use change and forestry. The scenario results indicate that Finland has good opportunities for achieving its low carbon targets by 2050 due to its large natural resources. The major uncertainties are related to the application of carbon capture and storage (CCS) and possible sustainability criteria for biomass.

KW - sensitivity case

KW - gross domestic product loss

KW - scenario bionenergy

KW - wide european scale

KW - time modeling framework

U2 - 10.1007/978-3-319-16540-0_10

DO - 10.1007/978-3-319-16540-0_10

M3 - Chapter or book article

SN - 978-3-319-16539-4

T3 - Lecture Notes in Energy

SP - 163

EP - 181

BT - Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models

PB - Springer

ER -

Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland

Abstract

Publication series

UN SDGs

Keywords

Access to Document

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Cite this