Abstract
Risk-based approaches can help in selecting and
prioritizing future choices and schedules so
that decisions are justified by the associated risk. The
paper will give examples of
applications from conventional power plants, where
degrading physical condition can
increase the risk of failure and decrease asset value: a
single detailed example illustrated the
approach, which is also anchored in the new European
standard EN 16991 (prEN
16991:2016) and applied in large-scale industrial
projects world-wide. To manage the risk,
implemented inspections and maintenance can help to limit
the probability of failure (PoF)
and its uncertainty. Failure statistics of similar
components operating in similar environments
may provide fair estimates of PoF, but biased or lacking
comparable statistics may require
adjustment through e.g. additional measurements or expert
information for the application. In
parallel, inspection and monitoring data can more
directly help in assessing the evolution of
PoF. An example of the latter is a power plant heat
exchanger, with inspection and failure
criteria considered for a full life cycle that included
multiple inspections by the same
inspecting party and equipment. Uneven spatial
distribution of in-service wall loss without
changes in mechanisms or loss rates at a given location
nevertheless required a change of
inspection strategy during the life cycle.
Original language | English |
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Number of pages | 10 |
Publication status | Published - 2017 |
Event | 43rd MPA-Seminar, Zukunft der Energieerzeugung im Mittelpunkt - Stuttgart, Germany Duration: 11 Oct 2017 → 12 Oct 2017 |
Seminar
Seminar | 43rd MPA-Seminar, Zukunft der Energieerzeugung im Mittelpunkt |
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Country/Territory | Germany |
City | Stuttgart |
Period | 11/10/17 → 12/10/17 |
Keywords
- risk-based inspection
- life assessment
- power plant component