Process supporting strategic decision-making in systemic transitions

Heidi Auvinen, Sampsa Ruutu, Anu Tuominen, Toni Ahlqvist, Juha Oksanen

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

    Abstract

    This paper introduces a process for supporting strategic decision-making and policy planning in systemic transitions related to grand challenges such as climate change. The process uses the multi-level perspective (MLP)1 1 MLP, multi-level perspective (Geels, 2004). as an underlying theoretical framework and combines various methods and tools from the fields of foresight, impact assessment, simulation modelling and societal embedding. Decision-makers such as public sector authorities and politicians are the main target group, accompanied by other stakeholders and interest groups whose involvement throughout the process is stressed. The process is presented as a stepwise methodological working process and demonstrated by a theoretical case study. The demonstration explores the vision of 'emission-free transport in cities by 2050' in the context of motorised passenger transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area in Finland. The case study serves as an example of how to implement the process and how to make case-specific selections from the methods and tools from suggested fields.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)97-114
    JournalTechnological Forecasting and Social Change
    Volume94
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2015
    MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

    Fingerprint

    decision making
    theoretical study
    public sector
    metropolitan area
    stakeholder
    climate change
    modeling
    simulation
    method
    decision
    impact assessment
    interest group
    city
    target group
    policy planning
    passenger transport

    Keywords

    • transport systems
    • decision-making
    • policy planning
    • simulation modelling
    • systemic transitions

    Cite this

    @article{375d50b4fb4040fe985e56a8ca24e537,
    title = "Process supporting strategic decision-making in systemic transitions",
    abstract = "This paper introduces a process for supporting strategic decision-making and policy planning in systemic transitions related to grand challenges such as climate change. The process uses the multi-level perspective (MLP)1 1 MLP, multi-level perspective (Geels, 2004). as an underlying theoretical framework and combines various methods and tools from the fields of foresight, impact assessment, simulation modelling and societal embedding. Decision-makers such as public sector authorities and politicians are the main target group, accompanied by other stakeholders and interest groups whose involvement throughout the process is stressed. The process is presented as a stepwise methodological working process and demonstrated by a theoretical case study. The demonstration explores the vision of 'emission-free transport in cities by 2050' in the context of motorised passenger transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area in Finland. The case study serves as an example of how to implement the process and how to make case-specific selections from the methods and tools from suggested fields.",
    keywords = "transport systems, decision-making, policy planning, simulation modelling, systemic transitions",
    author = "Heidi Auvinen and Sampsa Ruutu and Anu Tuominen and Toni Ahlqvist and Juha Oksanen",
    year = "2015",
    doi = "10.1016/j.techfore.2014.07.011",
    language = "English",
    volume = "94",
    pages = "97--114",
    journal = "Technological Forecasting and Social Change",
    issn = "0040-1625",
    publisher = "Elsevier",

    }

    Process supporting strategic decision-making in systemic transitions. / Auvinen, Heidi; Ruutu, Sampsa; Tuominen, Anu; Ahlqvist, Toni; Oksanen, Juha.

    In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 94, 2015, p. 97-114.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

    TY - JOUR

    T1 - Process supporting strategic decision-making in systemic transitions

    AU - Auvinen, Heidi

    AU - Ruutu, Sampsa

    AU - Tuominen, Anu

    AU - Ahlqvist, Toni

    AU - Oksanen, Juha

    PY - 2015

    Y1 - 2015

    N2 - This paper introduces a process for supporting strategic decision-making and policy planning in systemic transitions related to grand challenges such as climate change. The process uses the multi-level perspective (MLP)1 1 MLP, multi-level perspective (Geels, 2004). as an underlying theoretical framework and combines various methods and tools from the fields of foresight, impact assessment, simulation modelling and societal embedding. Decision-makers such as public sector authorities and politicians are the main target group, accompanied by other stakeholders and interest groups whose involvement throughout the process is stressed. The process is presented as a stepwise methodological working process and demonstrated by a theoretical case study. The demonstration explores the vision of 'emission-free transport in cities by 2050' in the context of motorised passenger transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area in Finland. The case study serves as an example of how to implement the process and how to make case-specific selections from the methods and tools from suggested fields.

    AB - This paper introduces a process for supporting strategic decision-making and policy planning in systemic transitions related to grand challenges such as climate change. The process uses the multi-level perspective (MLP)1 1 MLP, multi-level perspective (Geels, 2004). as an underlying theoretical framework and combines various methods and tools from the fields of foresight, impact assessment, simulation modelling and societal embedding. Decision-makers such as public sector authorities and politicians are the main target group, accompanied by other stakeholders and interest groups whose involvement throughout the process is stressed. The process is presented as a stepwise methodological working process and demonstrated by a theoretical case study. The demonstration explores the vision of 'emission-free transport in cities by 2050' in the context of motorised passenger transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area in Finland. The case study serves as an example of how to implement the process and how to make case-specific selections from the methods and tools from suggested fields.

    KW - transport systems

    KW - decision-making

    KW - policy planning

    KW - simulation modelling

    KW - systemic transitions

    U2 - 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.07.011

    DO - 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.07.011

    M3 - Article

    VL - 94

    SP - 97

    EP - 114

    JO - Technological Forecasting and Social Change

    JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change

    SN - 0040-1625

    ER -