Process supporting strategic decision-making in systemic transitions

Heidi Auvinen, Sampsa Ruutu, Anu Tuominen, Toni Ahlqvist, Juha Oksanen

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Abstract

This paper introduces a process for supporting strategic decision-making and policy planning in systemic transitions related to grand challenges such as climate change. The process uses the multi-level perspective (MLP)1 1 MLP, multi-level perspective (Geels, 2004). as an underlying theoretical framework and combines various methods and tools from the fields of foresight, impact assessment, simulation modelling and societal embedding. Decision-makers such as public sector authorities and politicians are the main target group, accompanied by other stakeholders and interest groups whose involvement throughout the process is stressed. The process is presented as a stepwise methodological working process and demonstrated by a theoretical case study. The demonstration explores the vision of 'emission-free transport in cities by 2050' in the context of motorised passenger transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area in Finland. The case study serves as an example of how to implement the process and how to make case-specific selections from the methods and tools from suggested fields.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)97-114
JournalTechnological Forecasting and Social Change
Volume94
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2015
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

Fingerprint

decision making
theoretical study
public sector
metropolitan area
stakeholder
climate change
modeling
simulation
method
decision
impact assessment
interest group
city
target group
policy planning
passenger transport

Keywords

  • transport systems
  • decision-making
  • policy planning
  • simulation modelling
  • systemic transitions

Cite this

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title = "Process supporting strategic decision-making in systemic transitions",
abstract = "This paper introduces a process for supporting strategic decision-making and policy planning in systemic transitions related to grand challenges such as climate change. The process uses the multi-level perspective (MLP)1 1 MLP, multi-level perspective (Geels, 2004). as an underlying theoretical framework and combines various methods and tools from the fields of foresight, impact assessment, simulation modelling and societal embedding. Decision-makers such as public sector authorities and politicians are the main target group, accompanied by other stakeholders and interest groups whose involvement throughout the process is stressed. The process is presented as a stepwise methodological working process and demonstrated by a theoretical case study. The demonstration explores the vision of 'emission-free transport in cities by 2050' in the context of motorised passenger transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area in Finland. The case study serves as an example of how to implement the process and how to make case-specific selections from the methods and tools from suggested fields.",
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Process supporting strategic decision-making in systemic transitions. / Auvinen, Heidi; Ruutu, Sampsa; Tuominen, Anu; Ahlqvist, Toni; Oksanen, Juha.

In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 94, 2015, p. 97-114.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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