Production and consumption potentials for bioenergy in Finland to the year 2010: Licentiate thesis

The aim of the study was to provide potentials of bioenergy in energy production in Finland for the years 1995-2010. The potential increase of bioenergy consumption, from the level 5.5 Mtoe/a, is 60 % in the Basic Scenario, 40 % in the Minimum and 90 % in the Maximum Scenarios. In all the Scenarios, the relative share of bioenergy would increase compared to the start level, that is mainly due to the estimated growth in the forest industry production. Also in the future, over 60 % of bioenergy is used in the forest industry that could increase the use of bioenergy with 2.1 Mtoe/a by 2010 according to the Basic Scenario. By-products of the processes cover 85 % of its biomass-based fuel use. The production potentials on biomass based fuels exceed the consumption potentials of all the Scenarios. New technologies with high power to heat ratios, such as pressurised gasification with combined cycle (IGCC), would be essential to increase use of bioenergy in power production significantly.