Prospects of modelling societal transitions

Position paper of an emerging community

Georg Holtz, Floortje Alkemade, Fjalar De Haan, Jonathan Köhler, Evelina Trutnevyte, Tobias Luthe, Johannes Halbe, George Papachristos, Emile Chappin, Jan Kwakkel, Sampsa Ruutu

    Research output: Contribution to journalReview ArticleScientificpeer-review

    50 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Societal transitions involve multiple actors, changes in institutions, values and technologies, and interactions across multiple sectors and scales. Given this complexity, this paper takes on the view that the societal transitions research field would benefit from the further maturation and broader uptake of modelling approaches. This paper shows how modelling can enhance the understanding of and support stakeholders to steer societal transitions. It discusses the benefits modelling provides for studying large societal systems and elaborates on different ways models can be used for transitions studies. Two model applications are presented in some detail to illustrate the benefits. Then, limitations of modelling societal transitions are discussed, which leads to an agenda for future activities: (1) better cooperation in the development of dynamic models, (2) stronger interaction with other transition scholars and stakeholders, and (3) use of additional modelling approaches that we think are relevant to and largely unexplored in transitions studies.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)41-58
    Number of pages18
    JournalEnvironmental Innovation and Societal Transitions
    Volume17
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 1 Dec 2015
    MoE publication typeA2 Review article in a scientific journal

    Fingerprint

    stakeholder
    modeling
    community
    Dynamic models
    interaction
    field research
    maturation
    Values
    co-operation

    Keywords

    • Complex system
    • Formal model
    • Simulation
    • Societal transition
    • Socio-technical

    Cite this

    Holtz, Georg ; Alkemade, Floortje ; De Haan, Fjalar ; Köhler, Jonathan ; Trutnevyte, Evelina ; Luthe, Tobias ; Halbe, Johannes ; Papachristos, George ; Chappin, Emile ; Kwakkel, Jan ; Ruutu, Sampsa. / Prospects of modelling societal transitions : Position paper of an emerging community. In: Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions. 2015 ; Vol. 17. pp. 41-58.
    @article{9374811111b64e43915b78e79b50e439,
    title = "Prospects of modelling societal transitions: Position paper of an emerging community",
    abstract = "Societal transitions involve multiple actors, changes in institutions, values and technologies, and interactions across multiple sectors and scales. Given this complexity, this paper takes on the view that the societal transitions research field would benefit from the further maturation and broader uptake of modelling approaches. This paper shows how modelling can enhance the understanding of and support stakeholders to steer societal transitions. It discusses the benefits modelling provides for studying large societal systems and elaborates on different ways models can be used for transitions studies. Two model applications are presented in some detail to illustrate the benefits. Then, limitations of modelling societal transitions are discussed, which leads to an agenda for future activities: (1) better cooperation in the development of dynamic models, (2) stronger interaction with other transition scholars and stakeholders, and (3) use of additional modelling approaches that we think are relevant to and largely unexplored in transitions studies.",
    keywords = "Complex system, Formal model, Simulation, Societal transition, Socio-technical",
    author = "Georg Holtz and Floortje Alkemade and {De Haan}, Fjalar and Jonathan K{\"o}hler and Evelina Trutnevyte and Tobias Luthe and Johannes Halbe and George Papachristos and Emile Chappin and Jan Kwakkel and Sampsa Ruutu",
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    Holtz, G, Alkemade, F, De Haan, F, Köhler, J, Trutnevyte, E, Luthe, T, Halbe, J, Papachristos, G, Chappin, E, Kwakkel, J & Ruutu, S 2015, 'Prospects of modelling societal transitions: Position paper of an emerging community', Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, vol. 17, pp. 41-58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2015.05.006

    Prospects of modelling societal transitions : Position paper of an emerging community. / Holtz, Georg; Alkemade, Floortje; De Haan, Fjalar; Köhler, Jonathan; Trutnevyte, Evelina; Luthe, Tobias; Halbe, Johannes; Papachristos, George; Chappin, Emile; Kwakkel, Jan; Ruutu, Sampsa.

    In: Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, Vol. 17, 01.12.2015, p. 41-58.

    Research output: Contribution to journalReview ArticleScientificpeer-review

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    AU - Alkemade, Floortje

    AU - De Haan, Fjalar

    AU - Köhler, Jonathan

    AU - Trutnevyte, Evelina

    AU - Luthe, Tobias

    AU - Halbe, Johannes

    AU - Papachristos, George

    AU - Chappin, Emile

    AU - Kwakkel, Jan

    AU - Ruutu, Sampsa

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    KW - Simulation

    KW - Societal transition

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