Quantifying the effect of noise, vibration and motion on human performance in ship collision and grounding risk assessment

Jakub Montewka (Corresponding author), Floris Goerlandt, Gemma Innes-Jones, Douglas Owen, Yasmine Hifi, Markus Porthin

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference article in proceedingsProfessional

4 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Risk-based design (RBD) methodology for ships is a relatively new and a fast developing discipline. However, quantification of human error contribution to the risk of collision or grounding within RBD has not been considered before. This paper introduces probabilistic models linking the effect of ship motion, vibration and noise with risk through the mediating agent of a crewmember. The models utilize the concept of Attention Management, which combines the theories described by Dynamic Adaptability Model, Cognitive Control Model and Malleable Attentional Resources Theory. To model the risk, an uncertainty-based approach is taken, under which the available background knowledge is systematically translated into a coherent network and the evidential uncertainty is qualitatively assessed. The obtained results are promising as the models are responsive to changes in the GDF nodes as expected. The models may be used as intended by naval architects and vessel designers, to facilitate risk-based ship design.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationPSAM 12
Subtitle of host publicationProbabilistic Safety Assessment and Management June 22-27, 2014
Number of pages13
Publication statusPublished - 2014
MoE publication typeD3 Professional conference proceedings
Event12th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference, PSAM 2014 - Honolulu, United States
Duration: 22 Jun 201427 Jun 2014

Conference

Conference12th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference, PSAM 2014
Abbreviated titlePSAM 2014
CountryUnited States
CityHonolulu
Period22/06/1427/06/14

Fingerprint

Electric grounding
Risk assessment
Ships
Dynamic models

Keywords

  • risk-based ship design
  • bayesian belief networks
  • risk assessment
  • collision probability
  • grounding probability

Cite this

Montewka, J., Goerlandt, F., Innes-Jones, G., Owen, D., Hifi, Y., & Porthin, M. (2014). Quantifying the effect of noise, vibration and motion on human performance in ship collision and grounding risk assessment. In PSAM 12: Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management June 22-27, 2014
Montewka, Jakub ; Goerlandt, Floris ; Innes-Jones, Gemma ; Owen, Douglas ; Hifi, Yasmine ; Porthin, Markus. / Quantifying the effect of noise, vibration and motion on human performance in ship collision and grounding risk assessment. PSAM 12: Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management June 22-27, 2014. 2014.
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Montewka, J, Goerlandt, F, Innes-Jones, G, Owen, D, Hifi, Y & Porthin, M 2014, Quantifying the effect of noise, vibration and motion on human performance in ship collision and grounding risk assessment. in PSAM 12: Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management June 22-27, 2014. 12th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference, PSAM 2014, Honolulu, United States, 22/06/14.

Quantifying the effect of noise, vibration and motion on human performance in ship collision and grounding risk assessment. / Montewka, Jakub (Corresponding author); Goerlandt, Floris; Innes-Jones, Gemma; Owen, Douglas; Hifi, Yasmine; Porthin, Markus.

PSAM 12: Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management June 22-27, 2014. 2014.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference article in proceedingsProfessional

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T1 - Quantifying the effect of noise, vibration and motion on human performance in ship collision and grounding risk assessment

AU - Montewka, Jakub

AU - Goerlandt, Floris

AU - Innes-Jones, Gemma

AU - Owen, Douglas

AU - Hifi, Yasmine

AU - Porthin, Markus

N1 - CA2: BA2115

PY - 2014

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N2 - Risk-based design (RBD) methodology for ships is a relatively new and a fast developing discipline. However, quantification of human error contribution to the risk of collision or grounding within RBD has not been considered before. This paper introduces probabilistic models linking the effect of ship motion, vibration and noise with risk through the mediating agent of a crewmember. The models utilize the concept of Attention Management, which combines the theories described by Dynamic Adaptability Model, Cognitive Control Model and Malleable Attentional Resources Theory. To model the risk, an uncertainty-based approach is taken, under which the available background knowledge is systematically translated into a coherent network and the evidential uncertainty is qualitatively assessed. The obtained results are promising as the models are responsive to changes in the GDF nodes as expected. The models may be used as intended by naval architects and vessel designers, to facilitate risk-based ship design.

AB - Risk-based design (RBD) methodology for ships is a relatively new and a fast developing discipline. However, quantification of human error contribution to the risk of collision or grounding within RBD has not been considered before. This paper introduces probabilistic models linking the effect of ship motion, vibration and noise with risk through the mediating agent of a crewmember. The models utilize the concept of Attention Management, which combines the theories described by Dynamic Adaptability Model, Cognitive Control Model and Malleable Attentional Resources Theory. To model the risk, an uncertainty-based approach is taken, under which the available background knowledge is systematically translated into a coherent network and the evidential uncertainty is qualitatively assessed. The obtained results are promising as the models are responsive to changes in the GDF nodes as expected. The models may be used as intended by naval architects and vessel designers, to facilitate risk-based ship design.

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KW - bayesian belief networks

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KW - collision probability

KW - grounding probability

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Montewka J, Goerlandt F, Innes-Jones G, Owen D, Hifi Y, Porthin M. Quantifying the effect of noise, vibration and motion on human performance in ship collision and grounding risk assessment. In PSAM 12: Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management June 22-27, 2014. 2014