Regional balance of forest chip supply and demand in Finland in 2030

Perttu Anttila; Vesa Nivala; Olli Salminen; Markus Hurskainen; Janne Kärki; Tomi J. Lindroos; Antti Asikainen

doi:10.14214/sf.9902

Regional balance of forest chip supply and demand in Finland in 2030

Perttu Anttila^*
, Vesa Nivala
, Olli Salminen
, Markus Hurskainen
, Janne Kärki
, Tomi J. Lindroos
, Antti Asikainen

^*Corresponding author for this work

Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke)

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review

13 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

According to the National Energy and Climate Strategy of Finland in 2016, the demand for forest chips, that is, wood chips made of forest biomass directly for energy use, could even double by 2030 compared to the present situation. A spatially explicit impact analysis of regional supply and demand balances for forest chips was carried out. The balances were calculated as the difference between technical harvesting potentials and demand. First, the technical potentials were estimated based on the national forest inventory data. Secondly, three demand scenarios were defined for 2030 and subsequently deducted from the potentials. The results suggested that there would be increasing competition for feedstock in southern and western Finland, whereas in eastern and northern Finland there would still be surplus potential. Moreover, due to the remarkable deficit of small trees in southern Finland, there might be pressure towards using more pulpwood-sized and/or imported wood in energy production. The results also showed that, in particular, large new plants consuming substantial amounts of forest chips could have a significant effect on the regional availability of forest chips. Moreover, with increasing transport distances, new logistical solutions will be needed.

Original language	English
Article number	9902
Journal	Silva Fennica
Volume	52
Issue number	2
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.14214/sf.9902
Publication status	Published - 1 Jan 2018
MoE publication type	A1 Journal article-refereed

Funding

This work was financially supported by the Academy of Finland under the Climate-Neutral and Resource-Scarce Finland – Strategic Research Programme in 2015–2020 (Project FORBIO, No. 14970) and the Government’s analysis, assessment, and research activities (Project KEIJU).

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy

Keywords

Availability
Bioenergy
Energy wood
GIS
Potential

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10.14214/sf.9902Licence: CC BY-SA

Cite this

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title = "Regional balance of forest chip supply and demand in Finland in 2030",

abstract = "According to the National Energy and Climate Strategy of Finland in 2016, the demand for forest chips, that is, wood chips made of forest biomass directly for energy use, could even double by 2030 compared to the present situation. A spatially explicit impact analysis of regional supply and demand balances for forest chips was carried out. The balances were calculated as the difference between technical harvesting potentials and demand. First, the technical potentials were estimated based on the national forest inventory data. Secondly, three demand scenarios were defined for 2030 and subsequently deducted from the potentials. The results suggested that there would be increasing competition for feedstock in southern and western Finland, whereas in eastern and northern Finland there would still be surplus potential. Moreover, due to the remarkable deficit of small trees in southern Finland, there might be pressure towards using more pulpwood-sized and/or imported wood in energy production. The results also showed that, in particular, large new plants consuming substantial amounts of forest chips could have a significant effect on the regional availability of forest chips. Moreover, with increasing transport distances, new logistical solutions will be needed.",

keywords = "Availability, Bioenergy, Energy wood, GIS, Potential",

author = "Perttu Anttila and Vesa Nivala and Olli Salminen and Markus Hurskainen and Janne K{\"a}rki and Lindroos, \{Tomi J.\} and Antti Asikainen",

year = "2018",

month = jan,

day = "1",

doi = "10.14214/sf.9902",

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TY - JOUR

T1 - Regional balance of forest chip supply and demand in Finland in 2030

AU - Anttila, Perttu

AU - Nivala, Vesa

AU - Salminen, Olli

AU - Hurskainen, Markus

AU - Kärki, Janne

AU - Lindroos, Tomi J.

AU - Asikainen, Antti

PY - 2018/1/1

Y1 - 2018/1/1

N2 - According to the National Energy and Climate Strategy of Finland in 2016, the demand for forest chips, that is, wood chips made of forest biomass directly for energy use, could even double by 2030 compared to the present situation. A spatially explicit impact analysis of regional supply and demand balances for forest chips was carried out. The balances were calculated as the difference between technical harvesting potentials and demand. First, the technical potentials were estimated based on the national forest inventory data. Secondly, three demand scenarios were defined for 2030 and subsequently deducted from the potentials. The results suggested that there would be increasing competition for feedstock in southern and western Finland, whereas in eastern and northern Finland there would still be surplus potential. Moreover, due to the remarkable deficit of small trees in southern Finland, there might be pressure towards using more pulpwood-sized and/or imported wood in energy production. The results also showed that, in particular, large new plants consuming substantial amounts of forest chips could have a significant effect on the regional availability of forest chips. Moreover, with increasing transport distances, new logistical solutions will be needed.

AB - According to the National Energy and Climate Strategy of Finland in 2016, the demand for forest chips, that is, wood chips made of forest biomass directly for energy use, could even double by 2030 compared to the present situation. A spatially explicit impact analysis of regional supply and demand balances for forest chips was carried out. The balances were calculated as the difference between technical harvesting potentials and demand. First, the technical potentials were estimated based on the national forest inventory data. Secondly, three demand scenarios were defined for 2030 and subsequently deducted from the potentials. The results suggested that there would be increasing competition for feedstock in southern and western Finland, whereas in eastern and northern Finland there would still be surplus potential. Moreover, due to the remarkable deficit of small trees in southern Finland, there might be pressure towards using more pulpwood-sized and/or imported wood in energy production. The results also showed that, in particular, large new plants consuming substantial amounts of forest chips could have a significant effect on the regional availability of forest chips. Moreover, with increasing transport distances, new logistical solutions will be needed.

KW - Availability

KW - Bioenergy

KW - Energy wood

KW - GIS

KW - Potential

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DO - 10.14214/sf.9902

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85046813408

SN - 0037-5330

VL - 52

JO - Silva Fennica

JF - Silva Fennica

IS - 2

M1 - 9902

ER -

Regional balance of forest chip supply and demand in Finland in 2030

Abstract

Funding

UN SDGs

Keywords

Access to Document

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Alueellinen metsähaketase vuonna 2030

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