TY - JOUR
T1 - Selection of representative slices for generation expansion planning using regular decomposition
AU - Helistö, Niina
AU - Kiviluoma, Juha
AU - Reittu, Hannu
N1 - Funding Information:
The work was supported by the Academy of Finland project “Improving the value of variable and uncertain power generation in energy systems (VaGe)” (grant number 284973 ), which is part of the New Energy programme. N. Helistö has also received funding from the Jenny and Antti Wihuri Foundation .
Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 The Author(s)
Copyright:
Copyright 2020 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2020/11/15
Y1 - 2020/11/15
N2 - In power and energy system planning tools, the temporal detail is often reduced by selecting representative slices out of longer time series. Various methods exist for the selection task, but they may prove slow or otherwise unfavourable in practical applications. Here, a generalized clustering algorithm, referred to as regular decomposition, is presented and applied to a power system planning study covering countries in the Northern Europe. The algorithm is compared with other selection methods, and the comparison is repeated with various number of representative slices and in three carbon price scenarios in order to provide more robust results. When selecting four weeks or more, regular decomposition is shown to perform relatively well compared to the other selection methods in terms of the total costs resulting from the power system model runs. When applied to inter-annual time series, regular decomposition is demonstrated to scale well. Although random sampling shows the most stable performance overall, the results indicate the need to test several methods for each system. Moreover, the results highlight the need to include net load peaks in the selected slices and to carefully estimate their position in the time series. A two-stage method for including net load peaks is presented.
AB - In power and energy system planning tools, the temporal detail is often reduced by selecting representative slices out of longer time series. Various methods exist for the selection task, but they may prove slow or otherwise unfavourable in practical applications. Here, a generalized clustering algorithm, referred to as regular decomposition, is presented and applied to a power system planning study covering countries in the Northern Europe. The algorithm is compared with other selection methods, and the comparison is repeated with various number of representative slices and in three carbon price scenarios in order to provide more robust results. When selecting four weeks or more, regular decomposition is shown to perform relatively well compared to the other selection methods in terms of the total costs resulting from the power system model runs. When applied to inter-annual time series, regular decomposition is demonstrated to scale well. Although random sampling shows the most stable performance overall, the results indicate the need to test several methods for each system. Moreover, the results highlight the need to include net load peaks in the selected slices and to carefully estimate their position in the time series. A two-stage method for including net load peaks is presented.
KW - clustering
KW - power system planning
KW - regular decomposition
KW - representative periods
KW - time series reduction
KW - variable renewable energy
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85089922080&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.energy.2020.118585
DO - 10.1016/j.energy.2020.118585
M3 - Article
SN - 0360-5442
VL - 211
JO - Energy
JF - Energy
M1 - 118585
ER -