### Abstract

Original language | English |
---|---|

Title of host publication | Reliability, Risk and Safety |

Subtitle of host publication | Back to the Future |

Editors | Ben Ale, Ioannis Papazoglou, Enrico Zio |

Place of Publication | London |

Publisher | Taylor & Francis |

Pages | 1513-1518 |

ISBN (Print) | 978-0-415-60427-7 |

Publication status | Published - 2010 |

MoE publication type | A4 Article in a conference publication |

Event | European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2010 - Rhodes, Greece Duration: 5 Sep 2010 → 9 Sep 2010 |

### Conference

Conference | European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2010 |
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Abbreviated title | ESREL 2010 |

Country | Greece |

City | Rhodes |

Period | 5/09/10 → 9/09/10 |

### Fingerprint

### Keywords

- In-service inspection
- probability of detection
- probabilistic fracture mechanics

### Cite this

*Reliability, Risk and Safety: Back to the Future*(pp. 1513-1518). London: Taylor & Francis.

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*Reliability, Risk and Safety: Back to the Future.*Taylor & Francis, London, pp. 1513-1518, European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2010, Rhodes, Greece, 5/09/10.

**Studies on the effect of flaw detection probability assumptions on risk reduction at non-destructive inspection.** / Simola, Kaisa; Cronvall, Otso; Männistö, Ilkka; Gunnars, Jens; Alverlind, Lars; Dillström, Peter; Gandossi, Luca.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference article in proceedings › Scientific › peer-review

TY - GEN

T1 - Studies on the effect of flaw detection probability assumptions on risk reduction at non-destructive inspection

AU - Simola, Kaisa

AU - Cronvall, Otso

AU - Männistö, Ilkka

AU - Gunnars, Jens

AU - Alverlind, Lars

AU - Dillström, Peter

AU - Gandossi, Luca

N1 - Project code: 41253

PY - 2010

Y1 - 2010

N2 - Reliability estimates of piping (and other structural components) are needed e.g. in probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) studies, risk-informed ISI applications, and other structural reliability assessments. The reliability of piping components is affected by ISI, since inspection results increase the knowledge of the state of the inspected components. Probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM) models can account for the ISI effectiveness and interval, and allow sensitivity studies. A detailed modelling of ISI effectiveness is difficult, since it depends on several factors, and it would be very expensive to produce statistical data to estimate the probability of detection (POD) for various flaws. On the other hand, one could question the need of very detailed POD estimates in RI-ISI applications. If sufficient risk reduction can be shown by using simplified (conservative) POD estimates, more complex PODs are not needed. The paper summarises the results of a study of the effect of piping inspection reliability assumptions on failure probability using structural reliability models. The main interest was to investigate whether it is justifiable to use a simplified probability of detection (POD) curve. Further, the study compared various structural reliability calculation approaches for a set of cases. The results indicate that the use of a simplified POD could be justifiable in RI-ISI applications.

AB - Reliability estimates of piping (and other structural components) are needed e.g. in probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) studies, risk-informed ISI applications, and other structural reliability assessments. The reliability of piping components is affected by ISI, since inspection results increase the knowledge of the state of the inspected components. Probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM) models can account for the ISI effectiveness and interval, and allow sensitivity studies. A detailed modelling of ISI effectiveness is difficult, since it depends on several factors, and it would be very expensive to produce statistical data to estimate the probability of detection (POD) for various flaws. On the other hand, one could question the need of very detailed POD estimates in RI-ISI applications. If sufficient risk reduction can be shown by using simplified (conservative) POD estimates, more complex PODs are not needed. The paper summarises the results of a study of the effect of piping inspection reliability assumptions on failure probability using structural reliability models. The main interest was to investigate whether it is justifiable to use a simplified probability of detection (POD) curve. Further, the study compared various structural reliability calculation approaches for a set of cases. The results indicate that the use of a simplified POD could be justifiable in RI-ISI applications.

KW - In-service inspection

KW - probability of detection

KW - probabilistic fracture mechanics

M3 - Conference article in proceedings

SN - 978-0-415-60427-7

SP - 1513

EP - 1518

BT - Reliability, Risk and Safety

A2 - Ale, Ben

A2 - Papazoglou, Ioannis

A2 - Zio, Enrico

PB - Taylor & Francis

CY - London

ER -