The Application of the Enhanced Bayesian THERP in the HRA Methods Empirical Study Using Simulator Data

  • Jan-Erik Holmberg
  • , Kent Bladh
  • , Johanna Oxstrand
  • , Pekka Pyy

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference article in proceedingsScientificpeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

The enhanced Bayesian THERP (Technique for Human Reliability Analysis) method is based on the use of the time-reliability curve introduced in the Swain's human reliability analysis (HRA) handbook and on adjustment of the time-dependent human error probabilities with five performance shaping factors (PSFs): (1) support from procedures, (2) support from training, (3) feedback from process, (4) need for co-ordination and communication, (5) mental load, decision burden. In the enhanced Bayesian THERP, the PSFs are elicited by expert judgments, which are then aggregated in a Bayesian manner. This approach has been successfully used in real PSA-studies, where the plant operators have been the experts assessing the levels of the PSFs. The method has proven to be a systematic way to qualitatively and quantitatively analyze operator actions. This paper presents the application of the enhanced Bayesian THERP in an international study "HRA Methods Empirical Study Using Simulator Data."
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management 2008
Subtitle of host publicationPSAM9
Place of PublicationHong Kong
PublisherEdge Publication Group
Pages1497-1503
ISBN (Print)978-988-99191-5-7, 978-1-62276-577-5
Publication statusPublished - 2008
MoE publication typeA4 Article in a conference publication
Event9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management, PSAM 9 - Hong Kong, China
Duration: 18 May 200823 May 2008

Conference

Conference9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management, PSAM 9
Abbreviated titlePSAM 9
Country/TerritoryChina
CityHong Kong
Period18/05/0823/05/08

Keywords

  • PSA
  • HRA
  • expert judgment
  • empirical study

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