The future of personal transportation in megacities of the world

Juha Luoma, Michael Sivak, Susan Zielinski

    Research output: Book/ReportReport

    Abstract

    This study examined the future of personal transportation in megacities of the world. Of particular interest was the future role of personal vehicles. To span ranges of geographical, political, and economic factors, the following 15 megacities were included in the analysis: Chicago, New York, London, Moscow, Paris, Buenos Aires, Mexico City, Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo, Bangalore, Calcutta, Delhi, Mumbai, Hong Kong, and Shanghai. The current and future values of the following factors were considered: population, wealth, level of motorization, public transportation, and modal split. Also discussed were selected urban transportation plans and strategies.
    Based on the analysis, projections through 2025 were made for each megacity for changes in ownership of personal vehicles; distance traveled by personal vehicle within inner core, for commuting, and for leisure; and for number of road fatalities.
    The projections were based on treating the different transportation modes as independent and exclusive options. However, there is growing implementation and use of new mobility networks—integrated networks that provide a variety of connected and IT-enhanced transportation options door-to-door. Although such networks are expected to reduce reliance on personal vehicles, the magnitude and nature of this effect remain to be ascertained.
    Original languageEnglish
    Place of PublicationUSA
    PublisherUniversity of Michigan
    Number of pages31
    Publication statusPublished - 2010
    MoE publication typeD4 Published development or research report or study

    Publication series

    SeriesUMTRI Reports
    NumberUMTRI-2010-2

    Fingerprint

    megacity
    transportation mode
    inner core
    commuting
    ownership
    road
    world
    vehicle
    economics
    analysis

    Keywords

    • megacities
    • personal transportation
    • automobiles
    • projections
    • future

    Cite this

    Luoma, J., Sivak, M., & Zielinski, S. (2010). The future of personal transportation in megacities of the world. USA: University of Michigan. UMTRI Reports, No. UMTRI-2010-2
    Luoma, Juha ; Sivak, Michael ; Zielinski, Susan. / The future of personal transportation in megacities of the world. USA : University of Michigan, 2010. 31 p. (UMTRI Reports; No. UMTRI-2010-2).
    @book{1f137ffdb3d44ece857396cd03a2b94b,
    title = "The future of personal transportation in megacities of the world",
    abstract = "This study examined the future of personal transportation in megacities of the world. Of particular interest was the future role of personal vehicles. To span ranges of geographical, political, and economic factors, the following 15 megacities were included in the analysis: Chicago, New York, London, Moscow, Paris, Buenos Aires, Mexico City, Rio de Janeiro, S{\~a}o Paulo, Bangalore, Calcutta, Delhi, Mumbai, Hong Kong, and Shanghai. The current and future values of the following factors were considered: population, wealth, level of motorization, public transportation, and modal split. Also discussed were selected urban transportation plans and strategies. Based on the analysis, projections through 2025 were made for each megacity for changes in ownership of personal vehicles; distance traveled by personal vehicle within inner core, for commuting, and for leisure; and for number of road fatalities. The projections were based on treating the different transportation modes as independent and exclusive options. However, there is growing implementation and use of new mobility networks—integrated networks that provide a variety of connected and IT-enhanced transportation options door-to-door. Although such networks are expected to reduce reliance on personal vehicles, the magnitude and nature of this effect remain to be ascertained.",
    keywords = "megacities, personal transportation, automobiles, projections, future",
    author = "Juha Luoma and Michael Sivak and Susan Zielinski",
    year = "2010",
    language = "English",
    series = "UMTRI Reports",
    number = "UMTRI-2010-2",
    publisher = "University of Michigan",
    address = "United States",

    }

    Luoma, J, Sivak, M & Zielinski, S 2010, The future of personal transportation in megacities of the world. UMTRI Reports, no. UMTRI-2010-2, University of Michigan, USA.

    The future of personal transportation in megacities of the world. / Luoma, Juha; Sivak, Michael; Zielinski, Susan.

    USA : University of Michigan, 2010. 31 p. (UMTRI Reports; No. UMTRI-2010-2).

    Research output: Book/ReportReport

    TY - BOOK

    T1 - The future of personal transportation in megacities of the world

    AU - Luoma, Juha

    AU - Sivak, Michael

    AU - Zielinski, Susan

    PY - 2010

    Y1 - 2010

    N2 - This study examined the future of personal transportation in megacities of the world. Of particular interest was the future role of personal vehicles. To span ranges of geographical, political, and economic factors, the following 15 megacities were included in the analysis: Chicago, New York, London, Moscow, Paris, Buenos Aires, Mexico City, Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo, Bangalore, Calcutta, Delhi, Mumbai, Hong Kong, and Shanghai. The current and future values of the following factors were considered: population, wealth, level of motorization, public transportation, and modal split. Also discussed were selected urban transportation plans and strategies. Based on the analysis, projections through 2025 were made for each megacity for changes in ownership of personal vehicles; distance traveled by personal vehicle within inner core, for commuting, and for leisure; and for number of road fatalities. The projections were based on treating the different transportation modes as independent and exclusive options. However, there is growing implementation and use of new mobility networks—integrated networks that provide a variety of connected and IT-enhanced transportation options door-to-door. Although such networks are expected to reduce reliance on personal vehicles, the magnitude and nature of this effect remain to be ascertained.

    AB - This study examined the future of personal transportation in megacities of the world. Of particular interest was the future role of personal vehicles. To span ranges of geographical, political, and economic factors, the following 15 megacities were included in the analysis: Chicago, New York, London, Moscow, Paris, Buenos Aires, Mexico City, Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo, Bangalore, Calcutta, Delhi, Mumbai, Hong Kong, and Shanghai. The current and future values of the following factors were considered: population, wealth, level of motorization, public transportation, and modal split. Also discussed were selected urban transportation plans and strategies. Based on the analysis, projections through 2025 were made for each megacity for changes in ownership of personal vehicles; distance traveled by personal vehicle within inner core, for commuting, and for leisure; and for number of road fatalities. The projections were based on treating the different transportation modes as independent and exclusive options. However, there is growing implementation and use of new mobility networks—integrated networks that provide a variety of connected and IT-enhanced transportation options door-to-door. Although such networks are expected to reduce reliance on personal vehicles, the magnitude and nature of this effect remain to be ascertained.

    KW - megacities

    KW - personal transportation

    KW - automobiles

    KW - projections

    KW - future

    M3 - Report

    T3 - UMTRI Reports

    BT - The future of personal transportation in megacities of the world

    PB - University of Michigan

    CY - USA

    ER -

    Luoma J, Sivak M, Zielinski S. The future of personal transportation in megacities of the world. USA: University of Michigan, 2010. 31 p. (UMTRI Reports; No. UMTRI-2010-2).