Abstract
To be able to manage traffic proactively, transport
network managers should be able to identify different
risk factors on the transport network and thus be able to
predict the occurrence and likely consequences of
incidents. The significance of different traffic and
environmental conditions in increasing accident risk was
studied by looking at registered accidents that happened
on Ring road I of the Helsinki metropolitan area. It was
found that the spatial accident distribution was far from
uniform and showed some strong peaks at different
locations - useful information in considering means for
preventing accidents. Temporally, the annual distribution
of accidents also showed some clear patterns (e.g. peaks
in February and September-October). In addition, the rush
hours between 3 p.m. and 5 p.m. had a higher risk of
accidents than the morning rush hours. Surprisingly, the
traffic density itself did not seem to affect the
accident risk. Snowfall, ice and snow on the road, and
poor visibility were also identified as risk factors.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | Transport Research Arena (TRA) 2014 Proceedings |
| Number of pages | 10 |
| Publication status | Published - 2014 |
| MoE publication type | A4 Article in a conference publication |
| Event | Transport Research Arena 2014, TRA 2014 - Paris, France Duration: 14 Apr 2014 → 17 Apr 2014 |
Conference
| Conference | Transport Research Arena 2014, TRA 2014 |
|---|---|
| Abbreviated title | TRA2014 |
| Country/Territory | France |
| City | Paris |
| Period | 14/04/14 → 17/04/14 |
Keywords
- proactive traffic management
- accident risk
- incident risk
- incident prediction