Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas

Tony Rosqvist (Corresponding author), Riitta Molarius, Hanna Virta, Adriaan Perrels

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference abstract in proceedingsScientific

    Abstract

    The project IRTORISKI studied the use of Event Tree Analysis (ETA) to assess the vulnerability and adaptation of flood prone areas. As a starting point for the ETA three flood scenarios were defined: Scenario 1: R=50 in current climate with current flood protection Scenario 2: R=30 in future climate of 2020-2050 with current protection Scenario 3: R=30 in future climate with new flood protection In order to assess the direct cost consequences the annual probabilities for the current climate are first assessed based on the annual cumulative distribution function as P(Q > qR) = 1 - F(Q < qR) = 1/R. The consequences of a significant flood, such as R50 of today, are economic (direct/indirect), health, environment, and social consequences. In the paper, a full ETA is described quantifying the annual risks related to the above scenarios where the new flood protecting measure considered is the construction of an absorption area.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationAdaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making
    Subtitle of host publicationProgramme and Abstracts of the Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation
    Place of PublicationHelsinki
    Pages29
    Publication statusPublished - 2012
    MoE publication typeNot Eligible
    EventSecond Nordic international conference on climate change adaptation: Adaption research meet adaption decision-making - Helsinki, Finland
    Duration: 29 Aug 201231 Aug 2012
    http://www.nordicadaptation2012.net/Doc/Programme_and_Abstracts_volume.pdf (Programme and Abstracts)

    Conference

    ConferenceSecond Nordic international conference on climate change adaptation
    CountryFinland
    CityHelsinki
    Period29/08/1231/08/12
    Internet address

    Fingerprint

    vulnerability
    climate
    economics
    cost
    analysis
    flood protection

    Keywords

    • flood
    • ETA
    • climate change

    Cite this

    Rosqvist, T., Molarius, R., Virta, H., & Perrels, A. (2012). Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas. In Adaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making: Programme and Abstracts of the Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation (pp. 29). [2.3.2] Helsinki.
    Rosqvist, Tony ; Molarius, Riitta ; Virta, Hanna ; Perrels, Adriaan. / Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas. Adaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making: Programme and Abstracts of the Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation. Helsinki, 2012. pp. 29
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    abstract = "The project IRTORISKI studied the use of Event Tree Analysis (ETA) to assess the vulnerability and adaptation of flood prone areas. As a starting point for the ETA three flood scenarios were defined: Scenario 1: R=50 in current climate with current flood protection Scenario 2: R=30 in future climate of 2020-2050 with current protection Scenario 3: R=30 in future climate with new flood protection In order to assess the direct cost consequences the annual probabilities for the current climate are first assessed based on the annual cumulative distribution function as P(Q > qR) = 1 - F(Q < qR) = 1/R. The consequences of a significant flood, such as R50 of today, are economic (direct/indirect), health, environment, and social consequences. In the paper, a full ETA is described quantifying the annual risks related to the above scenarios where the new flood protecting measure considered is the construction of an absorption area.",
    keywords = "flood, ETA, climate change",
    author = "Tony Rosqvist and Riitta Molarius and Hanna Virta and Adriaan Perrels",
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    Rosqvist, T, Molarius, R, Virta, H & Perrels, A 2012, Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas. in Adaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making: Programme and Abstracts of the Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation., 2.3.2, Helsinki, pp. 29, Second Nordic international conference on climate change adaptation, Helsinki, Finland, 29/08/12.

    Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas. / Rosqvist, Tony (Corresponding author); Molarius, Riitta; Virta, Hanna; Perrels, Adriaan.

    Adaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making: Programme and Abstracts of the Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation. Helsinki, 2012. p. 29 2.3.2.

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference abstract in proceedingsScientific

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    T1 - Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas

    AU - Rosqvist, Tony

    AU - Molarius, Riitta

    AU - Virta, Hanna

    AU - Perrels, Adriaan

    N1 - Project code: 8496

    PY - 2012

    Y1 - 2012

    N2 - The project IRTORISKI studied the use of Event Tree Analysis (ETA) to assess the vulnerability and adaptation of flood prone areas. As a starting point for the ETA three flood scenarios were defined: Scenario 1: R=50 in current climate with current flood protection Scenario 2: R=30 in future climate of 2020-2050 with current protection Scenario 3: R=30 in future climate with new flood protection In order to assess the direct cost consequences the annual probabilities for the current climate are first assessed based on the annual cumulative distribution function as P(Q > qR) = 1 - F(Q < qR) = 1/R. The consequences of a significant flood, such as R50 of today, are economic (direct/indirect), health, environment, and social consequences. In the paper, a full ETA is described quantifying the annual risks related to the above scenarios where the new flood protecting measure considered is the construction of an absorption area.

    AB - The project IRTORISKI studied the use of Event Tree Analysis (ETA) to assess the vulnerability and adaptation of flood prone areas. As a starting point for the ETA three flood scenarios were defined: Scenario 1: R=50 in current climate with current flood protection Scenario 2: R=30 in future climate of 2020-2050 with current protection Scenario 3: R=30 in future climate with new flood protection In order to assess the direct cost consequences the annual probabilities for the current climate are first assessed based on the annual cumulative distribution function as P(Q > qR) = 1 - F(Q < qR) = 1/R. The consequences of a significant flood, such as R50 of today, are economic (direct/indirect), health, environment, and social consequences. In the paper, a full ETA is described quantifying the annual risks related to the above scenarios where the new flood protecting measure considered is the construction of an absorption area.

    KW - flood

    KW - ETA

    KW - climate change

    UR - http://www.nordicadaptation2012.net/Doc/Oral_presentations/2.3.2_Rosqvist.pdf

    M3 - Conference abstract in proceedings

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    BT - Adaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making

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    Rosqvist T, Molarius R, Virta H, Perrels A. Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas. In Adaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making: Programme and Abstracts of the Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation. Helsinki. 2012. p. 29. 2.3.2