Abstract
The project IRTORISKI studied the use of Event Tree
Analysis (ETA) to assess the vulnerability and adaptation
of flood prone areas. As a starting point for the ETA
three flood scenarios were defined: Scenario 1: R=50 in
current climate with current flood protection Scenario 2:
R=30 in future climate of 2020-2050 with current
protection Scenario 3: R=30 in future climate with new
flood protection In order to assess the direct cost
consequences the annual probabilities for the current
climate are first assessed based on the annual cumulative
distribution function as P(Q > qR) = 1 - F(Q < qR) = 1/R.
The consequences of a significant flood, such as R50 of
today, are economic (direct/indirect), health,
environment, and social consequences.
In the paper, a full ETA is described quantifying the
annual risks related to the above scenarios where the new
flood protecting measure considered is the construction
of an absorption area.
Original language | English |
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Title of host publication | Adaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making |
Subtitle of host publication | Programme and Abstracts of the Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation |
Place of Publication | Helsinki |
Pages | 29 |
Publication status | Published - 2012 |
MoE publication type | Not Eligible |
Event | Second Nordic international conference on climate change adaptation: Adaption research meet adaption decision-making - Helsinki, Finland Duration: 29 Aug 2012 → 31 Aug 2012 http://www.nordicadaptation2012.net/Doc/Programme_and_Abstracts_volume.pdf (Programme and Abstracts) |
Conference
Conference | Second Nordic international conference on climate change adaptation |
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Country/Territory | Finland |
City | Helsinki |
Period | 29/08/12 → 31/08/12 |
Internet address |
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Keywords
- flood
- ETA
- climate change