Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas

Tony Rosqvist (Corresponding author), Riitta Molarius, Hanna Virta, Adriaan Perrels

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference abstract in proceedingsScientific

Abstract

The project IRTORISKI studied the use of Event Tree Analysis (ETA) to assess the vulnerability and adaptation of flood prone areas. As a starting point for the ETA three flood scenarios were defined: Scenario 1: R=50 in current climate with current flood protection Scenario 2: R=30 in future climate of 2020-2050 with current protection Scenario 3: R=30 in future climate with new flood protection In order to assess the direct cost consequences the annual probabilities for the current climate are first assessed based on the annual cumulative distribution function as P(Q > qR) = 1 - F(Q < qR) = 1/R. The consequences of a significant flood, such as R50 of today, are economic (direct/indirect), health, environment, and social consequences. In the paper, a full ETA is described quantifying the annual risks related to the above scenarios where the new flood protecting measure considered is the construction of an absorption area.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAdaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making
Subtitle of host publicationProgramme and Abstracts of the Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation
Place of PublicationHelsinki
Pages29
Publication statusPublished - 2012
MoE publication typeNot Eligible
EventSecond Nordic international conference on climate change adaptation: Adaption research meet adaption decision-making - Helsinki, Finland
Duration: 29 Aug 201231 Aug 2012
http://www.nordicadaptation2012.net/Doc/Programme_and_Abstracts_volume.pdf (Programme and Abstracts)

Conference

ConferenceSecond Nordic international conference on climate change adaptation
CountryFinland
CityHelsinki
Period29/08/1231/08/12
Internet address

Fingerprint

vulnerability
climate
economics
cost
analysis
flood protection

Keywords

  • flood
  • ETA
  • climate change

Cite this

Rosqvist, T., Molarius, R., Virta, H., & Perrels, A. (2012). Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas. In Adaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making: Programme and Abstracts of the Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation (pp. 29). [2.3.2] Helsinki.
Rosqvist, Tony ; Molarius, Riitta ; Virta, Hanna ; Perrels, Adriaan. / Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas. Adaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making: Programme and Abstracts of the Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation. Helsinki, 2012. pp. 29
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abstract = "The project IRTORISKI studied the use of Event Tree Analysis (ETA) to assess the vulnerability and adaptation of flood prone areas. As a starting point for the ETA three flood scenarios were defined: Scenario 1: R=50 in current climate with current flood protection Scenario 2: R=30 in future climate of 2020-2050 with current protection Scenario 3: R=30 in future climate with new flood protection In order to assess the direct cost consequences the annual probabilities for the current climate are first assessed based on the annual cumulative distribution function as P(Q > qR) = 1 - F(Q < qR) = 1/R. The consequences of a significant flood, such as R50 of today, are economic (direct/indirect), health, environment, and social consequences. In the paper, a full ETA is described quantifying the annual risks related to the above scenarios where the new flood protecting measure considered is the construction of an absorption area.",
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Rosqvist, T, Molarius, R, Virta, H & Perrels, A 2012, Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas. in Adaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making: Programme and Abstracts of the Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation., 2.3.2, Helsinki, pp. 29, Second Nordic international conference on climate change adaptation, Helsinki, Finland, 29/08/12.

Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas. / Rosqvist, Tony (Corresponding author); Molarius, Riitta; Virta, Hanna; Perrels, Adriaan.

Adaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making: Programme and Abstracts of the Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation. Helsinki, 2012. p. 29 2.3.2.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference abstract in proceedingsScientific

TY - CHAP

T1 - Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas

AU - Rosqvist, Tony

AU - Molarius, Riitta

AU - Virta, Hanna

AU - Perrels, Adriaan

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PY - 2012

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N2 - The project IRTORISKI studied the use of Event Tree Analysis (ETA) to assess the vulnerability and adaptation of flood prone areas. As a starting point for the ETA three flood scenarios were defined: Scenario 1: R=50 in current climate with current flood protection Scenario 2: R=30 in future climate of 2020-2050 with current protection Scenario 3: R=30 in future climate with new flood protection In order to assess the direct cost consequences the annual probabilities for the current climate are first assessed based on the annual cumulative distribution function as P(Q > qR) = 1 - F(Q < qR) = 1/R. The consequences of a significant flood, such as R50 of today, are economic (direct/indirect), health, environment, and social consequences. In the paper, a full ETA is described quantifying the annual risks related to the above scenarios where the new flood protecting measure considered is the construction of an absorption area.

AB - The project IRTORISKI studied the use of Event Tree Analysis (ETA) to assess the vulnerability and adaptation of flood prone areas. As a starting point for the ETA three flood scenarios were defined: Scenario 1: R=50 in current climate with current flood protection Scenario 2: R=30 in future climate of 2020-2050 with current protection Scenario 3: R=30 in future climate with new flood protection In order to assess the direct cost consequences the annual probabilities for the current climate are first assessed based on the annual cumulative distribution function as P(Q > qR) = 1 - F(Q < qR) = 1/R. The consequences of a significant flood, such as R50 of today, are economic (direct/indirect), health, environment, and social consequences. In the paper, a full ETA is described quantifying the annual risks related to the above scenarios where the new flood protecting measure considered is the construction of an absorption area.

KW - flood

KW - ETA

KW - climate change

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Rosqvist T, Molarius R, Virta H, Perrels A. Vulnerability and adaptation assessment of flood prone areas. In Adaptation Research meets Adaptation Decision-Making: Programme and Abstracts of the Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation. Helsinki. 2012. p. 29. 2.3.2