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Which discoveries are paradigm shifting?

  • Tampere University
  • Lappeenranta-Lahti University of Technology LUT
  • Hanken School of Economics
  • Helsinki GSE
  • Research Institute of the Finnish Economy (ETLA)

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Abstract

To more closely align theories of paradigm-shifting discoveries and their empirical quantification, we propose a novel measure that incorporates a discovery’s impact, novelty, and tendency to break with the past into a single, coherent measure. Calibration using the National Inventor Hall of Fame data reveals that the three dimensions are strict complements, meaning, for example, that greater impact cannot substitute for moderate novelty. We illustrate how the measure works and validate it in several complementary ways using data on the United States Patent and Trademark Office patents from 1982 to 2015. High values of the measure are strongly predictive of discoveries that are simultaneously exceptional in terms of their impact, novelty, and disruptiveness.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)983-1005
Number of pages23
JournalIndustrial and Corporate Change
Volume35
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2026
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

Funding

Hyytinen thanks Yrjö Jahnsson Foundation, FORTE (grant no. 2021-01552_3), Saara and Björn Wahlroos’ foundation, and Dr. H.C. Marcus Wallenberg’s Foundation for Research in Business Administration for financial support.

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